arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.
arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.
arXiv:2606. 06440v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data-driven causal relationship identification is pertinent to advancing understanding of complex systems both within and beyond science.
arXiv:2605. 15133v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines.
arXiv:2602. 18662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset.
The paper introduces Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a new Bayesian inference technique for simulator models where the likelihood is intractable but simulation is easy. CPE uses flow matching to approximate the posterior while embedding the model’s conditional dependencies directly into the neural network architecture. Experiments show that this hard‑coded structure yields highly accurate inference, matching or surpassing current state‑of‑the‑art methods.
Neuro-Causal Factor Analysis (NCFA) reimagines traditional factor analysis by integrating causal structure learning and deep generative modeling. The method learns a directed graph linking latent and observed variables, then trains a deep generative model that respects the graph’s Markov factorization. Experiments on synthetic and real datasets show NCFA achieves lower reconstruction error than standard FA and better latent distribution recovery than a variational autoencoder, while offering a sparser architecture, reduced complexity, and causal interpretability.
arXiv:2603. 02159v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Instrumental variable (IV) and proximal causal learning (Proxy) methods are central frameworks for causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding.
arXiv:2607. 14940v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study causal inference under outcome interference for sequential, observational settings.
Causal Foundation Models (CFMs) are pretrained neural networks designed to estimate causal quantities—such as the average treatment effect—across new datasets using in‑context learning, eliminating the need for bespoke pipelines or model updates. The paper introduces CFMs, reviews foundational concepts in causal inference and machine learning, and provides practical code examples and Jupyter notebooks to illustrate their application.
arXiv:2608. 04930v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayesian causal discovery seeks to determine the posterior distribution of causal theories, which are interpreted as directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that explain the observed data.
arXiv:2607. 05984v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recovering the exact directed acyclic graph (DAG) in linear non-Gaussian acyclic models with latent confounders (LvLiNGAM) remains a challenging problem.