arXiv AI

The Measurement Revolution? Credible Measurement and Inference in the Age of AI

The article discusses how artificial intelligence is reshaping measurement in economics by converting unstructured data into structured variables at low cost, enabling large‑scale measurement that was previously infeasible. It outlines three stages—discovery, construct definition, and observation—where AI impacts the measurement pipeline and stresses the importance of rigorous validation to ensure credible inference. The review offers guidance on navigating the shift from a single scalable measure to multiple plausible ones that can lead to differing empirical conclusions.

arXiv AI
Jun 11

Can AI Agents Synthesize Scientific Conclusions?

arXiv:2606. 11337v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Scientific AI agents increasingly retrieve evidence, reason across sources, and synthesize conclusions used in consequential decisions.

By Hayoung Jung, Pedro Viana Diniz, Jos\'e Reinaldo Corr\^ea Roveda, Abner Fernandes da Silva, Haeun Jung, Enoch Tsai, Aleksandra Korolova, Manoel Horta Ribeiro
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 5

Interpretable Discovery from Unstructured Data: A High-Dimensional Approach

The paper introduces a general-purpose framework that automatically discovers insights from unstructured data, such as text from open-ended surveys. It transforms these data into high-dimensional, structured datasets of interpretable concept measurements, defines concept-level parameters and null hypotheses, and applies validated high-dimensional multiple testing algorithms to select discoveries. The framework also generates and evaluates human-interpretable natural language descriptions of the findings, enabling fast, inexpensive sensitivity analysis and replication.

By Jacob Carlson
arXiv AI
Jun 16

Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2026

arXiv:2606. 15708v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Welcome to the ninth edition of the AI Index report.

By Sha Sajadieh, Loredana Fattorini, Raymond Perrault, Yolanda Gil, Vanessa Parli, Lapo Santarlasci, Juan Pava, Nestor Maslej, Russ Altman, Erik Brynjolfsson, Carla Brodley, Jack Clark, Virginia Dignum, Vipin Kumar, James Landay, Terah Lyons, James Manyika, Juan Carlos Niebles, Yoav Shoham, Elham Tabassi, Russell Wald, Toby Walsh, Dan Weld
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Human-AI-Powered Hypothesis Testing: Cost-Aware Selective AI Scoring and Sequential Human Escalation

The paper introduces a framework for hypothesis testing that combines inexpensive AI judgments with selective human verification to control type‑I and type‑II errors while minimizing cost. It derives an information‑theoretic lower bound on the minimum cost and proposes the SCALE policy, a sequential, cost‑aware strategy that adapts AI scoring and human escalation. SCALE is proven valid for finite samples and asymptotically matches the lower bound, achieving significant savings when both AI and human inputs are valuable.

By Dae Woong (David), Ham, Xuejun Zhao, Stefanus Jasin, Fenghua Yang
arXiv AI
Sep 25

AI in Science: Early Insights

The paper "AI in Science: Early Insights" analyzes AI’s impact on scientific work using data from 15 million Gemini interactions, 2,600 specialized AI models, and a survey of 600 scientists. It finds widespread AI adoption, complementary use of large language models and specialized tools, significant productivity gains of about seven hours per week, and a shift in research bottlenecks toward hypothesis backlog and verification needs. The study suggests AI can boost scientific productivity but its full effect depends on addressing new downstream challenges.

By Mihai Codreanu, Alex Imas, Juan Mateos-Garcia, Joseph Emmens, Evalyne Muiruri, Arthur Turrell, Julian Jacobs, Atoosa Kasirzadeh, Ana Trisovic, Yiyuan Chen, Tanya Rodchenko, Catherine Pollard, Scott Strand, Daniel Rock, Zanna Iscenko, Fabien Curto Millet, Neil Thompson, James Manyika
arXiv AI
Jun 18

Externalizing Research Synthesis and Validation in AI Scientists through a Research Harness

arXiv:2606. 18874v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI systems can increasingly automate scientific workflows, but the reasoning that links prior evidence, generated ideas, experiments and final claims often remains implicit inside model inference.

By Zijian Wang, Hanqi Li, Ziyue Yang, Zijian Hu, Shenghan Zuo, Yunzhe Zhang, Da Ma, Danyu Luo, Chenrun Wang, Jing Peng, Tiancheng Huang, Sijia Guo, Huayang Wang, Zichen Zhu, Senyu Han, Yilu Cao, Kai Yu, Lu Chen
arXiv AI
Sep 11

Generative AI for Analysts

The paper examines how generative AI (GenAI) changes the way financial analysts produce information, using the 2023 integration of GenAI into FACTSET as a natural experiment. It finds that FACTSET reports become richer—adding 26% more distinct sources, 24% broader topics, and 21% more analytical methods—while also being more timely. However, the increased information load leads to lower forecast accuracy for analysts, suggesting a human attention bottleneck, whereas a machine-learning benchmark does not suffer the same decline.

By Jian Xue, Qian Zhang, Wu Zhu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

The Calibration Turn in AI-Assisted Research: A Conceptual and Methodological Framework for Evidence-Licensed Claims

arXiv:2606. 31273v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI-assisted research has entered a stage in which the central question is not only whether systems can generate hypotheses, run experiments, or produce manuscripts, but whether their scientific claims are calibrated to the evidence that supports them.

By Hongmin Li
arXiv Statistics ML
3d ago

Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees

The paper introduces a hypothesis testing framework for adaptive auditing of AI systems, addressing the challenge of limited, opportunistically collected data. It defines two competing null hypotheses—one from the model’s perspective and one from the auditor’s—and uses Safe Anytime-Valid Inference (SAVI) to perform betting-based tests that yield simultaneous e-processes. The authors prove that, with a powerful auditor, the two hypotheses become asymptotically inverse, allowing a global robustness certification, and demonstrate empirically that their methods control Type‑I error and can reach conclusions with as few as 20 observations.

By Siyu Zhou, Patrick Vossler, Venkatesh Sivaraman, Yifan Mai, Jean Feng