arXiv AI

The Measurement Revolution? Credible Measurement and Inference in the Age of AI

The article discusses how artificial intelligence is reshaping measurement in economics by converting unstructured data into structured variables at low cost, enabling large‑scale measurement that was previously infeasible. It outlines three stages—discovery, construct definition, and observation—where AI impacts the measurement pipeline and stresses the importance of rigorous validation to ensure credible inference. The review offers guidance on navigating the shift from a single scalable measure to multiple plausible ones that can lead to differing empirical conclusions.

arXiv AI
Jun 11

Can AI Agents Synthesize Scientific Conclusions?

arXiv:2606. 11337v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Scientific AI agents increasingly retrieve evidence, reason across sources, and synthesize conclusions used in consequential decisions.

By Hayoung Jung, Pedro Viana Diniz, Jos\'e Reinaldo Corr\^ea Roveda, Abner Fernandes da Silva, Haeun Jung, Enoch Tsai, Aleksandra Korolova, Manoel Horta Ribeiro
arXiv AI
Jun 16

Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2026

arXiv:2606. 15708v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Welcome to the ninth edition of the AI Index report.

By Sha Sajadieh, Loredana Fattorini, Raymond Perrault, Yolanda Gil, Vanessa Parli, Lapo Santarlasci, Juan Pava, Nestor Maslej, Russ Altman, Erik Brynjolfsson, Carla Brodley, Jack Clark, Virginia Dignum, Vipin Kumar, James Landay, Terah Lyons, James Manyika, Juan Carlos Niebles, Yoav Shoham, Elham Tabassi, Russell Wald, Toby Walsh, Dan Weld
arXiv AI
Jun 18

Externalizing Research Synthesis and Validation in AI Scientists through a Research Harness

arXiv:2606. 18874v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI systems can increasingly automate scientific workflows, but the reasoning that links prior evidence, generated ideas, experiments and final claims often remains implicit inside model inference.

By Zijian Wang, Hanqi Li, Ziyue Yang, Zijian Hu, Shenghan Zuo, Yunzhe Zhang, Da Ma, Danyu Luo, Chenrun Wang, Jing Peng, Tiancheng Huang, Sijia Guo, Huayang Wang, Zichen Zhu, Senyu Han, Yilu Cao, Kai Yu, Lu Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

The Calibration Turn in AI-Assisted Research: A Conceptual and Methodological Framework for Evidence-Licensed Claims

arXiv:2606. 31273v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI-assisted research has entered a stage in which the central question is not only whether systems can generate hypotheses, run experiments, or produce manuscripts, but whether their scientific claims are calibrated to the evidence that supports them.

By Hongmin Li
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11

Demystifying Prediction Powered Inference

arXiv:2601. 20819v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning predictions are increasingly used to supplement incomplete or costly-to-measure outcomes in fields such as biomedical research, environmental science, and social science.

By Yilin Song, Dan M. Kluger, Harsh Parikh, Tian Gu
arXiv AI
Aug 13

On Benchmarking Human-Like Intelligence in Machines

arXiv:2502. 20502v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) have yielded powerful computational models that, by learning from vast amounts of human-generated data, are increasingly posited as approximate models of human cognition.

By Lance Ying, Katherine M. Collins, Lionel Wong, Ilia Sucholutsky, Ryan Liu, Adrian Weller, Tianmin Shu, Thomas L. Griffiths, Joshua B. Tenenbaum