arXiv:2609.09030v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Chain-of-thought reasoning provides a structured computation between a model's input and final answer. Yet it is often evaluated through endpoint accur...
By Mar Gonz\`alez I Catal\`a, Haitz S\'aez de Oc\'ariz Borde, Davide Murari, Carola-Bibiane Sch\"onlieb, Pietro Li\`o, George Monta\~nez
As the chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities of large language models improve, evaluating and calibrating their reasoning confidence is becoming increasingly important for quantifying the uncertaint...
The paper introduces Divergent Token Confidence (DTC), a method that estimates large language model confidence by counting tokens where two models strongly disagree during decoding. DTC uses Jensen-Shannon divergence between next-token distributions along the same reasoning trajectory and shows a near-negative correlation with answer accuracy. Experiments on multiple model families and six mathematical benchmarks demonstrate that DTC improves calibration over traditional probability-based and verbalized baselines, achieving lower expected calibration errors in both white-box and black-box settings.
By Feiyang Li, Shengjing Liu, Qi Zhan, Sijie Cheng, Weiqing Wang, Hongwen Chen, Yuxuan Yang, Wen Wang, Yile Wang, Hui Huang
The paper introduces CoT-Interpretability Alignment (CIA), a metric that quantifies how well a large language model’s chain-of-thought (CoT) explanations match its internal reasoning processes. Evaluated on two-hop question answering, hint intervention, and integer multiplication across three LLMs, the study finds limited alignment (44.8–75.9%) and demonstrates that post‑training with a reward combining task accuracy and parametric faithfulness can substantially improve CoT faithfulness without sacrificing accuracy. The authors provide a framework for auditing CoT faithfulness and a pathway to making explicit reasoning more trustworthy, with code and data publicly available.
By Yihuai Hong, Shauli Ravfogel, Chen Zhao, Eunsol Choi
arXiv:2510. 19990v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The reasoning paradigm, where language models reason before answering, has enabled breakthroughs on tasks such as mathematical problem-solving.
By Zachary Horvitz, Raghav Singhal, Hao Zou, Carles Domingo-Enrich, Zhou Yu, Rajesh Ranganath, Kathleen McKeown
arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.
By Mosh Levy, Yoav Goldberg, Asa Cooper Stickland
arXiv:2608.28771v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large reasoning models achieve strong performance on complex tasks by generating extended chain-of-thought (CoT) traces via reinforcement learning with...
By Xin Jiang, Minhao Wang, Wen Wu, Zhentao Xie, Shangheng Du, Jinxin Shi, Jiabao Zhao
arXiv:2603. 01437v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As chain of thought (CoT) has become central to scaling reasoning capabilities in large language models (LLMs), it has also emerged as a promising tool for interpretability, suggesting the opportunity to understand model decisions through verbalized reasoning.
By Kyle Cox, Darius Kianersi, Adri\`a Garriga-Alonso
arXiv:2608.30632v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Reinforcement learning (RL), particularly RL with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), has recently emerged as a central paradigm for enhancing large language...
By Outongyi Lv, Yuanwei Zhang, Xiaoqun Zhang
arXiv:2609.13520v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: While Large Language Models have improved rapidly, many fundamental questions remain about how to evaluate the knowledge and reasoning abilities they a...
By Kyle Richardson, Cullen Anderson, Pranav Balakrishnan, Takuto Ban, Daksha Ladia, Ankita Gupta, Marisa Hudspeth
The paper studies how the distribution of information across chain‑of‑thought steps—measured by LP variance and Caveman compression ratio—relates to answer correctness in large language models. Across six model sizes, two training paradigms, and 60 GSM8K problems, it finds that lower LP variance predicts accuracy in supervised fine‑tuned models but not in reinforcement‑learning distilled ones, that models prefer more complex distributions, and that steering density at inference time harms accuracy while pre‑generation nudging and a new Entropy‑Gated Density Routing method improve it. The work demonstrates that natural density patterns are functionally important for reasoning and offers practical techniques to enhance performance.
By Tanush Kalhan, Anupam Chattopadhyay, Sriram Ranga, Amritendu Mukherjee
arXiv:2603. 17310v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) with extended reasoning capabilities often generate verbose and redundant reasoning traces, incurring unnecessary computational cost.
By Chengwei Wei, Jung-jae Kim, Longyin Zhang, Shengkai Chen, Nancy F. Chen