arXiv Machine Learning

Robust Bayesian Optimization via Tempered Posteriors

arXiv:2601. 07094v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Bayesian optimization (BO) iteratively fits a Gaussian process (GP) surrogate to accumulated evaluations and selects new queries via an acquisition function.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

No-Regret Bayesian Optimization with Finite-Library Input-Warped Kernels

The paper introduces Finite-Library Input-Warped Bayesian Optimization (FLIWBO), a method that selects input warps from a finite library to adapt the geometry used by Gaussian‑process Bayesian optimization. FLIWBO maintains high‑probability convergence guarantees while improving sample efficiency on problems where raw coordinates poorly match the objective’s geometry, such as log‑scaled hyperparameters or localized peaks. Experiments on synthetic benchmarks, Fashion‑MNIST hyperparameter tuning, and a 20‑dimensional multi‑agent system design demonstrate that FLIWBO‑UCB outperforms raw‑coordinate GP‑UCB and other methods with regret guarantees, especially under misspecified geometry.

By Edvin Ketabati Augustinsson, Robert A. Bridges
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Fast rates in Bayesian online learning with approximate posteriors

The paper investigates how fast predictive regret guarantees of exact Bayesian online learning can be maintained when using approximate posterior methods. It establishes a general theorem linking the cumulative cost of posterior approximation to the contraction radius of the exact Gibbs posterior and the Wasserstein distance between approximate and exact posteriors. Three concrete online learning scenarios—linear models, infinite‑dimensional exponential families, and Gaussian process regression—illustrate that appropriately accurate approximations (projected Langevin, truncation, and sparse variational posteriors) preserve fast regret bounds while reducing computational demands.

By Ilsang Ohn
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Exact Bayes Regret and Asymptotic Optimality in High-Dimensional Gaussian Bandits

The paper analyzes Bayesian linear bandits with isotropic Gaussian parameters, independent Gaussian arms, and Gaussian reward noise when the time horizon scales with the dimension. It derives explicit limits for the normalized posterior uncertainty and parameter overlaps, yielding exact regret curves for several policies—including Thompson sampling, posterior‑mean greedy selection, and scaled‑covariance variants. The results show that posterior‑mean greedy selection achieves the optimal Bayes regret, while Thompson sampling incurs a strictly larger leading regret whose ratio to greedy lies between one and two, approaching two for long horizons.

By Prakhar Singhvi (Abstract Math Institute), Yi Zou (Abstract Math Institute), Abhishek Bhattacharjee (Abstract Math Institute)
arXiv AI
Sep 2

Bandits in Prod: Hyperparameter Optimization at Inference Time

The paper introduces Online Hyperparameter Optimization (OHPO), framing it as an infinitely many‑armed bandit problem over mixed and conditional search spaces. It proposes the IMABO framework, which couples any bandit policy with any oracle for proposing new configurations, and presents IMOSS—a restart‑free anytime policy with provable regret bounds. Experiments show that IMABO, combined with practical oracles such as TPE, an incumbent‑mutation oracle, and a pretrained tabular foundation model, outperforms random search across a range of settings from classical ML models to LLM‑based agents.

By Louis Abraham, Tuan-Anh Nguyen, Nicolas Devatine