arXiv Machine Learning

Scalable Counterfactual Risk Estimation for Rare Events in Longitudinal Data

arXiv:2606. 01539v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating the causal effect of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes in large observational studies is computationally demanding, particularly when outcomes are rare.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

Automatic, Debiased, and Invariant Counterfactual Generation under General Interventions

arXiv:2606. 07399v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative models for counterfactual outcomes have great potential to support decision-making under complex interventions, but existing approaches are limited by unstable estimation, poor generalization across environments, and bias from nuisance model misspecification.

By Raphael C Kim, Jingsen Zhu, Ramin Zabih, Michele Santacatterina
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 4

Benchmarking Counterfactual Prediction in Epidemic Time Series with Time-Varying Interventions

Deep learning has enabled significant advances in time-series causal inference, yet progress remains constrained by the lack of realistic benchmarks with observable counterfactual outcomes. Existing datasets either rely on real-world observations without ground-truth counterfactuals or on simplified simulations that fail to capture complex causal dynamics.