Import AI 450: China's electronic warfare model; traumatized LLMs; and a scaling law for cyberattacks

Import AI 452: Scaling laws for cyberwar; rising tides of AI automation; and a puzzle over gDP forecasting

How much could AI revolutionize the economy?

Preparing for malicious uses of AI

We’ve co-authored a paper that forecasts how malicious actors could misuse AI technology, and potential ways we can prevent and mitigate these threats. This paper is the outcome of almost a year of sustained work with our colleagues at the Future of Humanity Institute, the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, the Center for a New American Security, the Electronic Frontier Foundation, and others.

Import AI 458: Reckoning with the future; and a singularity story

What AI-driven miracles will happen this year?

Import AI 456: RSI and economic growth; radical optionality for AI regulation; and a neural computer

What laws does superintelligence demand?

The Closing Window: How Governments Could Lose Their Ability to Restrain Advanced AI

arXiv:2608. 05173v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As AI capabilities advance, AI systems will pose greater risks to national security and potentially humanity as a whole.

Import AI 463: Self-improving robots; a 10k Chinese GPU cluster; and an elegiac essay for the human era

What eras bookend our interregnum?

Import AI 469: Science AI; RSI simulator; and Zuck's technological pessimism

The new frontier of AI is developing capable autonomous researchers

AI Agents Are Here. What Now?

Sovereign by necessity? Frontier AI export controls, cyber security, and the limits of national AI capability

arXiv:2608. 13272v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A small number of firms based in two states produce the most capable frontier AI models.

Direct Causation in International Humanitarian Law and the Challenge of AI-Mediated Civilian Cyber Operations

arXiv:2606. 29175v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: International humanitarian law protects civilians from direct attack unless and for such time as they take direct part in hostilities, with the ICRC's 2009 Interpretive Guidance operationalising this rule through a three-criterion cumulative test.

Import AI 460: Reward hacking society, RSI data from Anthropic; and RL-based quadcopter racing

When will markets price the singularity?

The Ethics of Autonomous AI Agents for Offensive Security

arXiv:2607. 20255v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: LLM-driven autonomous agents are reshaping offensive security.