arXiv Machine Learning

Towards an approach to multivariate outlier detection for District Heating System data

arXiv:2608. 11375v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we test different methods for multivariate detection of outliers in the data of transmitted heat energy in the selected substation of local District Heating System, by also considering outside ambient temperature, namely Z-score (univariate, as a benchmark), Mahalanobis distances, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Isolation Forest and Hotelling's T-squared test.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

Localized Kernel Projection Outlyingness: A Two-Stage Approach for Multi-Modal Outlier Detection

arXiv:2510. 24043v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This paper presents Two-Stage LKPLO, a novel multi-stage outlier detection framework that overcomes the coexisting limitations of conventional projection-based methods: their reliance on a fixed statistical metric and their assumption of a single data structure.

By Akira Tamamori
arXiv AI
Jun 4

TPA-AD: A Two-Stage Pseudo Anomaly-Guided Method for Bearing Time-Series Anomaly Detection

arXiv:2606. 04073v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper proposes a two-stage pseudo anomaly-guided anomaly detection method (\textbf{T}wo-stage \textbf{P}seudo \textbf{A}nomaly-guided \textbf{A}nomaly \textbf{D}etection, \textbf{TPA-AD}) for axle-box bearing time-series anomaly detection (time series anomaly detection, TSAD) under the setting where only normal samples are available for training.

By Xiancheng Wang, Zhibo Zhang, Ran Li, Rui Wang, Minghang Zhao, Shisheng Zhong, Lin Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

On the global feature importance for interpretable and trustworthy heat demand forecasting

arXiv:2608. 13039v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The paper introduces the ante-hoc Explainable AI methodology to assess the global feature importance of the Machine Learning models used for heat demand forecasting in intelligent control of District Heating Systems, with motivation to facilitate their interpretability and trustworthiness, hence addressing the challenges related to adherence to communal standards, customer satisfaction and liability risks.

By Milan Zdravkovi\'c
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11

Full-Feature versus Limited-Input Machine Learning for Residential Energy Estimation: A Comparative Analysis of RECS and ResStock Under Realistic Input Constraints

arXiv:2608. 09255v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Residential energy estimates are often needed before detailed envelope characteristics, equipment efficiencies, infiltration, sensor, or billing data are available.

By Aditya Ramnarayan, Fatih Evren, Patti Gunderson, Samuel Rosenberg
arXiv AI
Jun 12

CRAFTIIF: Cross-Resolution Analytic Four-Type Interpretable Isolation Forest for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

arXiv:2606. 13486v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Anomaly detection in multivariate time series is challenged by four structurally distinct anomaly types -- point (isolated spikes), distributional (level shifts), temporal (rhythm changes), and collective (inter-sensor correlation breakdowns) -- each requiring different feature representations.

By William Smits