arXiv:2608. 13108v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multi-source evidence fusion under Dempster-Shafer theory faces two persistent challenges: existing conflict measures assess inter-evidence inconsistency and intra-evidence uncertainty independently, yielding incomplete evaluations, and current fusion methods evaluate evidence sources exclusively through instantaneous comparisns without exploiting their long-term reliability across diverse decision contexts.
By Huiyu Li, Weibo Liu, Xinru Xu, Dongchen Gao, Meng Zhang, Junhua Hu
arXiv:2603. 24481v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Miscalibrated confidence scores are a practical obstacle to deploying AI in clinical settings.
By John Ray B. Martinez
arXiv:2608. 14617v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A recurring proposal in legal AI is to improve case-outcome prediction by fusing uncertainty tools (evidence graphs with belief propagation, sequential Bayesian odds updating, Dempster-Shafer combination, and conformal prediction) into one pipeline.
By Surya Saka
arXiv:2607. 23134v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Discovering rare safety-critical failures in autonomous and cyber-physical systems is a fundamental challenge in verification and validation.
By Tanmay Khandait, Preetom Biswas, Hideki Okamoto, Bardh Hoxha, Georgios Fainekos, Giulia Pedrielli
arXiv:2607. 18240v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) can achieve strong fact-checking accuracy, yet forced binary decisions conceal a critical reliability problem: systems may issue confident verdicts even when supporting evidence is weak, sparse, or internally inconsistent.
By Dekun Yang
arXiv:2607. 04528v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Software-agent benchmarks usually report whether an agent solves a task, but the agent reaches that outcome through a harness that controls what it sees, which actions it can take, which failures are repaired, which states are verified, and which evidence is logged.
By Haiwen Yi, Xinyuan Song
arXiv:2608. 05995v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable uncertainty estimates are critical in safety-sensitive applications, where understanding the sources of predictive uncertainty is essential.
By Frieder Wizgall, Georg Tirpitz, Moritz Seiler, Kerstin Ritter, B\'alint Mucs\'anyi
arXiv:2605. 22259v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Heterogeneous sensor fusion is vital for detecting, localizing, and classifying CBRNE threats.
By Jan Nausner, Michael Hubner
Software-agent benchmarks usually report whether an agent solves a task, but the agent reaches that outcome through a harness that controls what it sees, which actions it can take, which failures are repaired, which states are verified, and which evidence is logged. We show that this harness can change the agent's multi-step beliefs even when the task, environment, and base LLM are fixed.
arXiv:2510. 06096v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The objectives that Large Language Models (LLMs) implicitly optimize remain dangerously opaque, making trustworthy alignment and auditing a grand challenge.
By Matthieu Bou, Nyal Patel, Arjun Jagota, Satyapriya Krishna, Sonali Parbhoo
arXiv:2606. 01730v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as heuristic advisors for black-box optimization, yet their suggestions and self-reported confidence are not necessarily calibrated to downstream objective values.
By Jiangyu Chen, Banyi
arXiv:2606. 29713v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Hallucination is the reliability bottleneck for LLM-based agents, and fact attribution verifiers are the last line of defense -- yet today's verifiers emit only opaque binary labels, leaving agents unable to self-correct and operators unable to audit.
By Aojie Yuan, Yi Nian, Haiyue Zhang, Zijian Su, Yue Zhao