arXiv:2604. 14575v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models enable inexpensive AI-generated annotations, but using them reliably for causal inference remains challenging.
arXiv:2604. 14575v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Marketing research often relies on parameters estimated from costly human-generated data, such as conjoint survey responses, purchase decisions, and field experiment outcomes.
arXiv:2509. 09960v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data generation is increasingly essential in machine learning, supporting downstream applications when real-world, high-quality tabular data is insufficient.
The paper introduces a framework for synthetic‑augmented inference that balances the number of synthetic observations with their assigned weight. It defines a size‑weight frontier, estimating for each weight the maximum synthetic sample size that still guarantees target task‑marginal coverage for all smaller sizes. The authors provide finite‑sample coverage guarantees for configurations on or below this frontier and demonstrate that, when applied to augment opinion survey data with large language model responses, the method achieves the desired coverage while significantly tightening confidence intervals.
arXiv:2607. 16239v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI judges offer a scalable, low-cost alternative to human evaluation, but their outputs can be biased relative to human preferences and highly item-dependent, varying across judges, tasks, and domains.
arXiv:2609.24629v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A/B testing requires large sample sizes, long timelines, and significant costs. When auxiliary predictions of experimental outcomes are available from...
SAGE (Subpopulation-Aware Generative Enhancement) is a two-stage generative augmentation framework designed to mitigate spurious correlations in machine learning when group labels are unavailable. It uses cluster-derived sub-labels and class labels to fine‑tune a conditional generative model and text encoder, producing synthetic data that fills underrepresented regions and creates a balanced validation set for last‑layer reweighting. Experiments show SAGE improves worst‑group accuracy to 89.5%, 85.7%, and 79.1% on Waterbirds, CelebA, and MetaShift, outperforming existing group‑label‑free baselines by up to 7.7 percentage points.
The paper introduces Debiased Inference with Multiple Imperfect Measurements (DMM), a framework that uses several error‑prone AI measurements to perform valid downstream statistical inference without requiring costly gold‑standard labels. By assuming conditional independence of the measurements given the true label and unit‑level features, DMM leverages CP decomposition and semiparametric theory to prove consistency and asymptotic normality of its estimator. Simulations demonstrate that DMM yields valid inference and can improve efficiency when additional imperfect measurements are available, and the authors provide diagnostics for the key independence assumption.
arXiv:2507. 03897v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce GenAI-Powered Inference (GPI), a statistical framework for both causal and predictive inference using unstructured data, including text and images.
In many settings, studying causal questions based on text data requires adjusting for confounding information within texts. Yet there is a tradeoff in constructing text representations for adjustment:...
arXiv:2604. 17267v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large Language Models can generate synthetic survey responses at low cost, but their accuracy varies unpredictably across questions.
CausalProfiler is a synthetic benchmark generator designed to evaluate causal machine learning (Causal ML) methods more rigorously and transparently. It randomly samples causal models, data, queries, and ground truths based on explicit design choices across observation, intervention, and counterfactual reasoning levels, providing coverage guarantees and transparent assumptions. The authors demonstrate its utility by testing several state‑of‑the‑art methods under diverse conditions, both within and outside the identification regime, highlighting the insights CausalProfiler can reveal.
arXiv:2609.01322v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In many settings, studying causal questions based on text data requires adjusting for confounding information within texts. Yet there is a tradeoff i...