arXiv Machine Learning

Short-Term Forecasting of Heterogeneous Wind Power Fleets: Global Temporal Fusion Transformer Leveraging Static Covariates

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

WPBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Wind Power Forecasting

arXiv:2609.24444v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate, reliable, and deployable wind power forecasting is critical for power system dispatch, renewable energy integration, and electricity market o...

By Yuhan Zhu, Jilin Hu, Xinying Cai, Yingshan Li, Li Ma, Xiangfei Qiu Linsen Li, Kai Zhang, Yao Fu, Weihao Jiang, Bin Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era

arXiv:2604. 26634v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Norway's electricity market is heavily dominated by hydropower, but the 2021-2022 energy crisis and stronger integration with Continental Europe have fundamentally altered price formation, reducing the reliability of forecasting models calibrated on historical data.

By My Thi Diem Phan, Trung Tuyen Truong, Hoai Phuong Ha, Dat Thanh Nguyen
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 27

Technical Comparative Benchmarking Study: Advanced AI Hybrid Methods for Renewable Energy Farm Optimization and Forecasting

The paper benchmarks a range of AI methods—conventional ML, ensemble learning, deep neural networks, recurrent architectures, Transformers, graph models, and hybrid ensemble deep learning—on three renewable energy datasets, including large‑scale wave energy converter (WEC) data and wind farm SCADA measurements. Tree ensembles, particularly Extra Trees, outperform traditional ML and neural predictors on structured WEC layout data, achieving a 63.7% MAE reduction over an MLP baseline. Spatial‑temporal graph networks (STGCN) and an RF‑BiLSTM hybrid further improve forecasting accuracy, with the hybrid model reaching an MAE of 150.5 kW, a 75% reduction over a standalone LSTM and 10% better than STGCN. The study concludes that no single architecture dominates; randomized ensembles excel for structured surrogate modeling, graph networks for explicit spatial interactions, and hybrid recurrent ensembles for combined nonlinear tabular and temporal dynamics.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

Technical Comparative Benchmarking Study: Advanced AI Hybrid Methods for Renewable Energy Farm Optimization and Forecasting

The paper benchmarks a range of AI methods—conventional ML, ensemble learning, deep neural networks, recurrent architectures, Transformers, graph models, and hybrid ensemble deep learning—on renewable energy datasets. Tree ensembles, especially Extra Trees, outperform other models on structured wave energy converter (WEC) layout data, reducing MAE by about 63.7% relative to an MLP baseline. The RF BiLSTM hybrid delivers the best overall forecasting accuracy for wind farm SCADA data, cutting MAE by roughly 75% compared to a standalone LSTM and surpassing STGCN by about 10%.

By Majid Masoumi, Asghar Dashtiy, Mohammad Dehghan, Mina Rajabi
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 6

Benchmarking Deep Learning Models for Dense Event Classification of Offshore Wind Infrastructure in Sentinel-1 Time Series

arXiv:2608. 04706v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Monitoring of offshore wind energy infrastructure life cycles, especially during the deployment phase, is an important contribution for stakeholders to make informed decisions in a phase of increasing deployment activities.

By Thorsten Hoeser, Felix Bachofer, Claudia Kuenzer
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

Earth observation embeddings are effective sub-grid descriptors for probabilistic weather downscaling

arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.

By Pedro Sousa (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Will Tebbutt (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge), Sadiq Jaffer (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Robin Young (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Anil Madhavapeddy (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Richard E. Turner (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge)
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 3

Varda-single-1.0: deterministic data-driven weather forecasting at 1 km resolution over Switzerland's complex topography

Varda‑single‑1.0 is a medium‑range, data‑driven weather prediction system designed for Switzerland’s Alpine region, delivering hourly deterministic forecasts at 1 km resolution and global forecasts at 31 km. It uses two independently trained stretched‑grid Graph Transformer models—an autoregressive forecaster and a temporal downscaler—trained through a curriculum that starts with ERA5 reanalysis, proceeds to a 20‑year regional reanalysis, and ends with fine‑tuning on operational analyses. Over a one‑year verification, Varda‑single matches or surpasses MeteoSwiss’s numerical weather prediction baselines for most key metrics, though it underestimates local wind peaks and produces smoother convective precipitation fields. whyItMatters":"The system demonstrates that high‑resolution machine‑learning models can rival traditional numerical weather prediction in complex terrain, offering a complementary tool for operational forecasting and research."

By Alberto Pennino, Francesco Zanetta, Michele Cattaneo, Claire Merker, Radi Radev, Jonas Bhend, Louis Frey, Hugues de Laroussilhe, Oph\'elia Miralles, Carlos Osuna, Daniele Nerini, Andreas Pauling, Daniel Hupp, Ulrich Hamann, Mary McGlohon, Marti Bosch, Luca Lanzilao, Marco Arpagaus, Lukas Jansing, Daniel Leuenberger, Mark A. Liniger, Katrin Ehlert, Matthew Chantry, H\aa{}vard Homleid Haugen, Gert Mertes, Ana Prieto Nemesio, Mario Santa Cruz, Jasper Wijnands, Gabriel Moldovan, Harrison Cook, Oliver Fuhrer