arXiv Machine Learning

Amortized Probabilistic Retrieval of Atmospheric CO2 from OCO-2 Spectra Using Deep Learning with Laplace Approximations and Normalizing Flows

arXiv:2606. 17413v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Space-based monitoring of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) is essential for constraining the global carbon budget.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

SimCast-S2S: A Computationally Efficient Diffusion Model for Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasting

SimCast‑S2S is a generative latent‑diffusion framework designed for probabilistic subseasonal‑to‑seasonal precipitation forecasting. It tackles three key challenges: it uses a diffusion‑based generative pipeline for uncertainty quantification, operates in a compact latent space learned by VAEs for efficient large‑ensemble generation, and employs transfer learning with LoRA to overcome limited training data. On reanalysis data, it outperforms deep‑learning baselines and competes with or surpasses state‑of‑the‑art operational systems such as ECMWF‑S2S.

By Hiep V. Dang, Antonios Mamalakis
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

SimCast-S2S: An Efficient Generative Model for Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasting via Transfer Learning from Climate Simulations

SimCast‑S2S is a generative latent‑diffusion model designed for probabilistic subseasonal‑to‑seasonal precipitation forecasting. It tackles three key challenges: it uses a diffusion pipeline to capture uncertainty, operates in a compact latent space to enable efficient large‑ensemble generation, and leverages transfer learning with low‑rank adaptation to train on limited reanalysis data after pretraining on climate simulations. The model outperforms deep‑learning baselines and competes with, or surpasses, operational systems such as the ECMWF‑S2S baseline without requiring extensive post‑processing.

By Hiep V. Dang, Antonios Mamalakis
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 24

Efficient reduction of stellar contamination and noise in planetary transmission spectra using neural networks

arXiv:2602. 10330v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Context: The characterization of exoplanetary atmospheres has been transformed by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), whose infrared sensitivity enables transmission spectroscopy at unprecedented precision.

By David S. Duque-Casta\~no, Lauren Flor-Torres, Jorge I. Zuluaga
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 2

Accelerating Chemical Kinetics for Exoplanet Atmospheres using Neural Networks

The paper introduces a neural‑network based local‑box chemical kinetics solver for exoplanet atmospheres, employing a residual flow‑map architecture. It achieves microsecond‑scale inference with percent‑level accuracy across a wide range of temperatures, pressures, time steps, and compositional variations, outperforming other machine‑learning models and handling the extreme stiffness of atmospheric chemistry. The surrogate model offers a flexible, efficient alternative to classical solvers for state‑to‑state flow‑map problems in numerical simulations.

By Isaac Malsky, Xi Zhang, Tiffany Kataria, Matthew Graham, Ziyu Huang, Boris Bonev, Shang-Min Tsai, Elspeth K. H. Lee
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

TriHead-GAN: A Generative Adversarial Network with Triple-Head Discriminator for Carbon Emission Time Series Generation

arXiv:2606. 07569v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate carbon emission monitoring is critical for climate policy and emerging regulatory mechanisms such as the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, yet city-level high-frequency monitoring data remain extremely scarce, severely limiting data-hungry deep learning models.

By Zesen Wang, Lijuan Lan, Yonggang Li, Chunhua Yang