arXiv:2606. 06348v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The paradigm of global weather forecasting is rapidly shifting with the emergence of Machine Learning Weather Prediction models (MLWP).
By Wolfgang R. Rowell Jr., Lucas S. Kupssinsk\"u
The paradigm of global weather forecasting is rapidly shifting with the emergence of Machine Learning Weather Prediction models (MLWP). While these data-driven architectures demonstrate remarkable global skill, regional benchmarks in the Global South remain scarce, leaving their efficacy in complex, highly convective environments largely unverified.
arXiv:2406. 14399v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially sparse.
By Tao Han, Zhibin Wen, Zhenghao Chen, Dazhao Du, Song Guo, Lei Bai
arXiv:2608. 05054v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We investigate the transferability of Earth weather foundation models to planetary atmospheres by adapting the GraphCast graph neural weather forecasting model to Mars.
By M. L. Carroll, J. Li, S. D. Guzewich, G. Villanueva, J. A. Caraballo-Vega, M. J. Frost
arXiv:2504. 20238v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Atmospheric predictability research has long held that rapid error growth at small spatial scales imposes an intrinsic limit of roughly two weeks on deterministic weather forecast skill.
By P. Trent Vonich, Gregory J. Hakim
arXiv:2607. 28220v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Atmospheric predictability declines rapidly beyond the next ten days, such that forecasts at longer lead times primarily convey large-scale trends rather than specific states.
By Cas Decancq, Thomas Mortier, Jessica Keune, Diego G. Miralles
Atmospheric predictability declines rapidly beyond the next ten days, such that forecasts at longer lead times primarily convey large-scale trends rather than specific states. Yet in a warming world, improving early warnings of extreme heat is an increasingly critical challenge.
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
By Dandan Chen, Yaqiang Wang
arXiv:2607. 01621v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Fine-scale rainfall reconstruction is critical for urban flood modeling, but real rainfall sensing systems observe the field through incompatible spatial supports: gauges measure points, microwave links measure paths, and radar/satellite products measure gridded areas.
By Low Jun Yu, Niramay Kachhadiya, Herath Mudiyanselage Viraj Vidura Herath, Sanka Rasnayaka, Lucy Amanda Marshall
arXiv:2606. 19363v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The deployment of Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) in physical sciences is hindered by a critical trade-off: while these models encode rich, universal temporal dynamics, they suffer from severe distributional misalignment when applied zero-shot to specific scientific domains, and their computational cost prohibits deployment in edge-computing sensor networks.
By Rupasree Dey, Abdul Matin, Nathan Orwick, Yao Zhang, Shrideep Pallickara, Sangmi Lee Pallickara
arXiv:2606. 08630v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Global wind power capacity, especially in China, is booming, with new farms spanning diverse terrains and climates.
By Jiahui Huang, Ao Luo, Lei Liu, Hongwei Zhao, Tengyuan Liu, Ruibo Guo, Bo Wang, Zhao Wang, Bin Li
arXiv:2508. 18486v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP).
By Zekun Ni, Jonathan Weyn, Hang Zhang, Yanfei Xiang, Jiang Bian, Weixin Jin, Kit Thambiratnam, Qi Zhang, Haiyu Dong, Hongyu Sun