arXiv Machine Learning

A Causal Foundation Model for Structure and Outcome Prediction

arXiv:2606. 26467v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce TabPFN-CFM, a causal foundation model that can handle multiple causal problems.

Hugging Face Trending Papers

Jun 25

A Causal Foundation Model for Structure and Outcome Prediction

We introduce TabPFN-CFM, a causal foundation model that can handle multiple causal problems. TabPFN-CFM predicts both causal structure and outcomes from observational data, supports queries on all three levels of Pearl's Causal Hierarchy and uses known graph structure when available to improve predictions.

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 26

Use What You Know: Causal Foundation Models with Partial Graphs

arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.

By Arik Reuter, Anish Dhir, Cristiana Diaconu, Jake Robertson, Ole Ossen, Frank Hutter, Adrian Weller, Mark van der Wilk, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 8

Improving TabPFN's Synthetic Data Generation by Integrating Causal Structure

arXiv:2603. 10254v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Synthetic tabular data generation addresses data scarcity and privacy constraints in a variety of domains.

By Davide Tugnoli, Andrea De Lorenzo, Marco Virgolin, Giovanni Cin\`a

benchmarks safety data-engineering

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 14

DAG-FM: A Foundation Model for Causal Discovery under Heterogeneous Causal Mechanisms

arXiv:2607. 11510v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery from observational tabular data remains fundamentally challenging, primarily due to the heterogeneity of underlying causal mechanisms and the high-dimensional combinatorial search space of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs).

By Yikang Chen, Zhengkang Guan, Haoyuan Qian, Peng Cui, Yi Yang, Kun Kuang

llms benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 19

Unsupervised Causal Abstractions Discovery

arXiv:2606. 19594v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal abstractions formalize when a high-level structural causal model (SCM) captures the interventional behavior of a lower-level SCM.

By Th\'eo Saulus, Simon Lacoste-Julien, Dhanya Sridhar

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 5

Causal Atlases from Entropic Inference: Bayesian Networks beyond Optimal DAGs

arXiv:2606. 06440v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data-driven causal relationship identification is pertinent to advancing understanding of complex systems both within and beyond science.

By Hazhir Aliahmadi, Irina Babayan, Greg van Anders

arXiv AI

Jul 14

CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model

arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.

By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui

arXiv Machine Learning

Aug 4

Large Causal Models for Temporal Causal Discovery

arXiv:2602. 18662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset.

By Nikolaos Kougioulis, Nikolaos Gkorgkolis, MingXue Wang, Bora Caglayan, Dario Simionato, Andrea Tonon, Ioannis Tsamardinos

benchmarks

arXiv AI

Jun 30

Causality for Tabular Data Synthesis: A High-Order Structure Causal Benchmark Framework

arXiv:2406. 08311v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Existing evaluations of tabular synthesis models rely primarily on low-order statistics and downstream task performance, leaving multivariate causal relationships that go beyond pairwise correlations largely unmeasured.

By Zineb Senane, Axel Karlsson, Lele Cao, Oleg Smirnov, Cheng Zhang, Sahar Asadi, Hedvig Kjellstr\"om, Gustav Eje Henter, Ruibo Tu

benchmarks

arXiv AI

Jun 10

Causal Ensemble Agent: Hierarchical Causal Discovery with LLM-guided Expert Reweighting

arXiv:2606. 10607v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery aims to uncover causal structures from observational data, which is crucial for real-world decision-making.

By Xinyu Li, Yuanyuan Wang, Haoxuan Li, Chuan Zhou, Erdun Gao, Bo Han, Tongliang Liu, Kun Zhang, Howard Bondell, Mingming Gong

llms agents safety

arXiv AI

Jun 9

Implicit Causal Graph Construction in Text via Chain Discovery

arXiv:2606. 07525v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal graphs in text are typically populated by observable, predefined events.

By Liesbeth Allein, Marie-Francine Moens

llms

arXiv AI

Aug 5

GENESIS: Towards Explainable Causal Discovery

arXiv:2608. 03868v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal Discovery (CD) from observational data faces two fundamental challenges.

By Abhinav Thorat, Ravi Kumar Kolla, Vishak K Bhat, Harsh Vardhan Singh Chauhan, Niranjan Pedanekar

llms benchmarks

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