arXiv Machine Learning

Supply Chain Analytics: A Data-Driven Approach

The article "Supply Chain Analytics: A Data-Driven Approach" presents a mathematically rigorous framework that integrates statistical learning with robust decision-making for logistics and operations management. It covers topics from empirical demand forecasting to optimal inventory and network control under uncertainty, including sample minimization, dynamic programming for inventory replenishment, network fulfillment, and distributionally robust optimization using transport theory. The work also links predictive models with prescriptive algorithms such as column generation for vehicle routing and non‑homogeneous queueing regimes, offering both theoretical foundations and algorithmic guidance for building resilient, automated supply chain systems.

arXiv AI
2d ago

Travel Time Prediction in Supply Chain Management Using Machine Learning

The study explores machine learning and deep learning techniques to predict travel time for transportation and logistics within supply chain systems. By leveraging extensive historical data, it aims to build an accurate model that estimates travel times for inventory movement. The research emphasizes the importance of precise travel time predictions for improving logistics consistency, performance, and planning across the supply chain.

By Balaji Venkateswaran
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 7

A Constraint-Aware Generative Framework for Synthetic Origin-Destination Demand in Logistics Networks

The paper introduces a constraint‑aware conditional generative framework for creating synthetic origin‑destination demand data in hierarchical logistics networks. By modeling demand as a conditional distribution over destinations given each origin, the method incorporates differentiable operational constraints directly into the generative objective, allowing topology‑aware synthesis that remains operationally feasible. Experiments on industrial fulfillment and transportation networks show a 16% performance gain over graph neural network baselines, 87% operational compliance, and efficient cold‑start adaptation, supporting capacity planning, network design evaluation, and routing optimization.

By Leian Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Conformal Robustness in Prediction-Driven Decision-Making

The paper introduces a score‑calibrated robustness framework that transforms any fixed point predictor into a decision‑relevant uncertainty representation using distribution‑free conformal calibration. By employing the conformal score as the core unit of robustness, the authors derive both reliability‑based robust optimization and target‑oriented Conformal Robust Satisficing formulations, linking them through a shared robust decision frontier and a fragility measure. Experiments on synthetic data and a real online‑grocery inventory case study demonstrate the framework’s ability to improve reliability, reduce costs, and provide interpretable uncertainty scales for black‑box predictors.

By Lingjie Zhao, Hansheng Jiang, Wei Qi
arXiv Statistics ML
2d ago

Towards Optimal Inventory Control under Censored Demand: A Biased Sample-Average Approximation Approach

The paper presents a data‑driven framework for multi‑period lost‑sales inventory control when demand is censored, meaning stockouts only reveal that demand exceeded the stocking level. It introduces a new cost decomposition for base‑stock policies and a biased sample‑average approximation (SAA) method, leading to two algorithms: an upper‑biased SAA that achieves near‑optimal sample complexity under an offline coverage condition, and a lower‑biased SAA that actively generates coverage to achieve near‑optimal online regret. The biased SAA approach offers a general principle for applying pessimism and optimism in settings with censored feedback.

By Yuxuan Han, Xiaoyu Fan, Jiawei Zhang, Zhengyuan Zhou
arXiv AI
1d ago

Trustworthy Data- and ML-Ops for Intelligent Transportation Systems and Logistics

The paper reviews Trustworthy Data and Machine Learning Operations (DataOps and MLOps) for Intelligent Transportation Systems and Logistics (ITS&L). It identifies gaps in current literature, discusses the complexities, key components, tools, practical insights, and case studies relevant to ITS&L, and examines methods to strengthen trustworthiness in AI applications. The authors conclude by outlining ongoing challenges and future prospects, positioning the work as a resource for researchers, industry practitioners, and policymakers.

By Antonio Emanuele Cin\`a, Giovanni Scodeller, Cecilia Caterina Pasquale, Silvia Siri, Davide Anguita, Fabio Roli, Simona Sacone, Luca Oneto