Building on the identity that expected regret equals the covariance between costs and decisions, this paper develops the complete derivative theory of the covariance regret functional. We derive the Gâteaux derivative, showing that the universal steepest-descent direction is the contrarian policy $-(c-\bar{c})$, while ascent yields momentum.
arXiv:2603. 09276v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study a widely used Bayesian optimization method, Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS), under the assumption that the objective function is a sample path from a GP.
By Shion Takeno, Shogo Iwazaki
arXiv:2606. 01655v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The Bayesian paradigm offers principled tools for sequential decision-making under uncertainty, but its reliance on a probabilistic model for all parameters can hinder the incorporation of complex structural constraints.
By Kaizheng Wang
arXiv:2606. 27462v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The global minimum-variance portfolio (GMVP) is the canonical decision built from an estimated covariance matrix, yet covariance estimators are universally evaluated by matrix-norm loss, which is not the object the decision depends on.
By Xavier Fonseca
arXiv:2512. 09850v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce Conformal Bandits, a novel framework integrating Conformal Prediction (CP) into bandit problems, a classic paradigm for sequential decision-making under uncertainty.
By Simone Cuonzo, Nina Deliu
arXiv:2608. 16492v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper studies the regret analysis for parallel Gaussian process (GP) bandit optimization.
By Shion Takeno, Shogo Iwazaki
arXiv:2406. 13041v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Lower-bound analyses for nonconvex strongly-concave minimax optimization problems have shown that stochastic first-order algorithms require at least $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-4})$ sample complexity to find an $\varepsilon$-stationary point.
By Haoyuan Cai, Sulaiman A. Alghunaim, Ali H. Sayed
arXiv:2606. 00431v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We prove a variance-sensitive regret bound for Thompson sampling in stochastic generalised linear bandits.
By Tom Perneczky, Marc Abeille, David Janz
arXiv:2606. 19891v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study adversarial bandit optimization in which the loss functions may be non-convex and non-smooth.
By Zhuoyu Cheng, Kohei Hatano, Eiji Takimoto
arXiv:2502. 08870v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We provide an approach for the analysis of randomised exploration algorithms like Thompson sampling that does not rely on forced optimism or posterior inflation.
By Marc Abeille, David Janz, Ciara Pike-Burke
arXiv:2608. 15050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study online convex optimization with dueling (pairwise comparison) feedback, where the learner observes only a binary preference between two queried points.
By Yiyang Lu, Hareshkumar Jadav, Mohammad Pedramfar, Ranveer Singh, Vaneet Aggarwal
arXiv:2512. 00517v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Sequential optimization of black-box functions from noisy evaluations has been widely studied, with Gaussian Process bandit algorithms such as GP-UCB guaranteeing no-regret in stationary settings.
By Eliabelle Mauduit, Elo\"ise Berthier, Andrea Simonetto