The paper introduces a sequential change‑point detection method for time‑ordered data where neither the pre‑ nor post‑change distributions have closed forms. It trains a conditional diffusion model on pre‑change data, uses its probability flow ODE to map observations to a Gaussian latent space, and then applies the Maximum Mean Discrepancy as a test statistic. The authors derive closed‑form components under the Gaussian null, establish the statistic’s asymptotic distribution as a degenerate U‑statistic, and implement an online Shiryaev–Roberts procedure with exact threshold calibration to detect arbitrary distributional shifts without parametric assumptions.
By Artem Kraevskiy, Artem Prokhorov
arXiv:2609. 15479v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper studies the detection of multiple simultaneous (systematic) change points for high-dimensional nonstantionary economic and financial time series data.
By Richard Song
arXiv:2606. 01256v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper introduces a distribution-free framework for constructing post-detection confidence sets for changepoints after stopping a sequential change detection procedure.
By Aytijhya Saha, Aaditya Ramdas
arXiv:2608. 19767v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Skchange is an open-source Python library for detecting structural changes in time series.
By Martin Tveten, Johannes Voll Kolst{\o}, Per August Jarval Moen
skchange is an open‑source Python library that provides fast and flexible algorithms for detecting structural changes in time series. It offers modular, composable methods based on cost minimisation and statistical tests, and includes features such as anomalous segment detection, high‑dimensional data support, automatic penalty calibration, and a wide range of built‑in costs and tests. The library follows scikit‑learn conventions and uses Numba for high computational performance, with source code and documentation available on GitHub.
arXiv:2512. 07541v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Inspired by graph-based methodologies, we introduce a novel graph-spanning algorithm designed to identify changes in both offline and online data across low to high dimensions.
By Katerina Papagiannouli, Yang-wen Sun, Vladimir Spokoiny
arXiv:2606. 06785v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study finite-sample change detection for one-dimensional noisy dynamical systems using partition-based empirical approximations of stationary behaviour.
By Aparna Rajput
arXiv:2606. 20859v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A fundamental assumption in statistics and machine learning is that ``the future looks like the past,'' formalized as exchangeability: the joint data distribution is order-invariant.
By Johan Hallberg Szabadv\'ary
The paper introduces MaSoN, an end-to-end unsupervised remote sensing change detection framework that synthesises diverse changes directly in latent feature space during training. By generating changes based on feature statistics of the target data, MaSoN produces data‑driven variations that align with the target domain and can be applied to new modalities such as SAR and multispectral imagery. The method achieves a 14.1 percentage point improvement in average F1 score across five benchmarks, demonstrating strong generalisation across diverse change types.
By Bla\v{z} Rolih, Matic Fu\v{c}ka, Filip Wolf, Luka \v{C}ehovin Zajc
arXiv:2608. 13922v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Detecting distributional changes in high dimension is difficult when neither the pre-change nor post-change density is parametrically specified.
By Guoqing Zhang, Zhaixin Chen
arXiv:2607. 20119v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce the Directional Kernel Mean Difference (DKMD), a signed statistic for univariate distribution comparison that preserves the direction of distributional shifts.
By Shijie Zhong, Jiangfeng Fu
arXiv:2606. 18729v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data valuation quantifies the intrinsic quality of individual samples to enable principled data curation, quality control, and robust learning.
By Wenqin Liu, Weizhi Quan, Aoqi Zuo, Erdun Gao, Vu Nguyen, Dino Sejdinovic, Howard Bondell, Mingming Gong