Towards Data Science

Stop Calling the First Significant Day a Win

Checking an A/B test until it crosses p < 0. 05 can turn a nominal 5 percent false-positive rate into almost 28 percent.

Towards Data Science
5d ago

My Model Was Cheating on Its Own Test

A preprocessing pipeline let my car price model peek at the test set before the exam, and the twelve points of R squared it cheated its way to The post My Model Was Cheating on Its Own Test appeared first on Towards Data Science .

By Abdullahi Dattijo
arXiv AI
Jun 17

CausalT5k: Diagnosing Refusal and Failure Modes in Trustworthy Causal Reasoning Across Causal Rungs

arXiv:2602. 08939v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language models increasingly produce fluent causal explanations, yet they often fail in ways aggregate accuracy cannot diagnose: confusing association with intervention, abandoning correct judgments under pressure, over-refusing valid claims, or answering when evidence is underdetermined.

By Longling Geng, Andy Ouyang, Theodore Wu, Daphne Barretto, Matthew John Hayes, Rachael Cooper, Yuqiao Zeng, Sameer Vijay, Gia Ancone, Ankit Rai, Matthew Wolfman, Patrick Flanagan, Edward Y. Chang