arXiv AI

Knowing When to Stop: Bayesian Optimal Stopping for LLM Evaluations

arXiv:2608. 14425v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM evaluations often use fixed sampling budgets, testing every item the same number of times even after estimates are precise.

arXiv AI
Jul 23

Statistical Early Stopping for Reasoning Models

arXiv:2602. 13935v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While LLMs have seen substantial improvement in reasoning capabilities, they also sometimes overthink, generating unnecessary reasoning steps, particularly under uncertainty, given ill-posed or ambiguous queries.

By Yangxinyu Xie, Tao Wang, Soham Mallick, Yan Sun, Georgy Noarov, Mengxin Yu, Tanwi Mallick, Weijie J. Su, Edgar Dobriban
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Knowing When to Stop: Predicting Execution-Consistency Convergence in Text-to-SQL

arXiv:2607. 03991v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Repeated LLM calls are the standard way to estimate how trustworthy a Text-to-SQL result is: run the pipeline multiple times, judge each SQL execution, and use the consistency of the verdicts as a confidence signal.

By Yaron Anavi, Mor Aisenberg, Nadav Nesher, Elena Khabibullina, Isabella Cattinelli
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 13

Multi-Metric Adaptive Experimental Design Under a Fixed Budget with Validation

arXiv:2506. 03062v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A/B tests in online experiments face statistical power challenges when testing multiple candidates simultaneously, while adaptive experimental designs (AED) alone fall short in inferring experiment statistics such as the average treatment effect, especially with many metrics (e.

By Qining Zhang, Tanner Fiez, Yi Liu, Wenyang Liu