arXiv AI

What Proves You Wrong: Benchmarking Language Models on Falsifiable Research Ideation

The paper introduces Lit2Test, a benchmark that evaluates language models’ research idea proposals by requiring each idea to include a falsifiable outcome, thereby making quality decidable. Built from 200 real-paper neighborhoods, the benchmark gathers proposals from four frontier models and compares them via 1,200 blind pairwise judgments, with reliability checks and human calibration. The results show a consistent ranking of the models, driven by test and metric quality rather than fluency, and the authors release the benchmark and related artifacts for public use.

arXiv AI
Jul 7

Code Benchmarks Should Prioritize Rigor, Reliability, and Reproducibility

arXiv:2501. 10711v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Code-related benchmarks play a critical role in evaluating large language models (LLMs), yet their quality fundamentally shapes how the community interprets model capabilities.

By Jialun Cao, Yuk-Kit Chan, Zixuan Ling, Wenxuan Wang, Shuqing Li, Mingwei Liu, Ruixi Qiao, Yuting Han, Chaozheng Wang, Boxi Yu, Pinjia He, Shuai Wang, Zibin Zheng, Michael R. Lyu, Shing-Chi Cheung
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 28

Auto-Research Arena: Benchmarking and Advancing Auto-Research in Language Modeling

Auto-Research Arena is a multi-target benchmark designed to evaluate autonomous research systems and uncover new ideas in language modeling. It separates admissibility—determined by model quality and resource constraints—from improvement, using nine diverse targets covering model, data, training, and inference efficiency. The benchmark, applied to language model pretraining, distinguishes existing research harnesses and reveals significant room for improvement, while also enabling the reuse of discovered ideas to achieve lower training loss and better held‑out performance.

By Xi Chen, Chongjian Ge, Yiran Xu, Yiqun Mei, Henrik I. Christensen, Hao Tan, Ziwen Chen, Hanwen Jiang
arXiv AI
Sep 18

What Do We Expect from LLMs? Mapping the Design of LLM Benchmarks

The paper "What Do We Expect from LLMs? Mapping the Design of LLM Benchmarks" analyzes 14,767 arXiv submissions from 2022 to 2026 that introduce or update evaluation resources for large language models. It systematically maps changes in target systems, domains, evaluation materials, conditions, and scoring mechanisms, revealing a growing emphasis on action, interaction, and professional applications. The study also notes uneven development in model participation, with LLM-based scoring increasing in both agent and non-agent groups, while model-generated materials do not show a comparable rise.

By Chao Wang (Independent Researcher)
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 23

Calibration as a First-Class Criterion in LLM Evaluation

The paper argues that calibration—how well a language model’s confidence aligns with its actual correctness—should be a standard evaluation metric for large language models (LLMs). It notes that while calibration metrics exist, they are rarely applied outside specialized NLP subfields, leading to unverified confidence scores in new models, datasets, and benchmarks. The authors highlight the risks of miscalibration both at deployment (overconfident errors causing harm) and in research workflows (affecting LLM-as-a-judge, synthetic data generation, and active learning). They call for every NLP subfield to pair its primary performance metric with a calibration score, treating calibration as an essential property of every model.

By Mario Sanz-Guerrero, Katharina von der Wense
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 1

When Calibration Rankings Reverse: Accuracy-Controlled Evaluation for Fair Comparison of LLMs

The paper argues that traditional global calibration metrics, such as Expected Calibration Error and Brier Score, are confounded by differences in model accuracy when comparing large language models. It introduces ACE, an accuracy‑controlled evaluation framework that offers Instance‑Aligned, Distribution‑Aligned, and Candidate‑Aligned views to provide fairer cross‑model comparisons. Experiments across various benchmarks reveal that many reported calibration advantages disappear after accuracy control and that model rankings often reverse, indicating that raw global metrics are unreliable for cross‑model calibration assessment.

By Zhichao Yang, Caiqi Zhang, Ruihan Yang, Chengzu Li, Nigel Collier, Deqing Yang
arXiv AI
Oct 9

Large Language Model Turnover Undermines Screening for Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Scientific Writing

The study examines how the rapid turnover of large language models (LLMs) undermines the effectiveness of AI‑detectors used to screen scientific manuscripts. By comparing 4,000 PNAS abstracts rewritten by 23 different LLM versions released between June 2023 and August 2026, the authors show that detectors trained on past versions can fail dramatically at generation boundaries, missing up to 96% of rewrites just after a sharp transition. Even detectors updated to newer versions can overlook rewrites of older models, and a commercial detector missed most rewrites of the newest version while flagging few human‑written abstracts.

By Kazuki Nakajima, Takayuki Mizuno
arXiv AI
Sep 3

EvalDetectBench: A Benchmark for Measuring Evaluation Awareness in Frontier Language Models

EvalDetectBench is an open pipeline and benchmark designed to measure evaluation awareness in frontier large language models, enabling practitioners to test models against any Inspect-compatible evaluation. It includes a curated transcript suite from current frontier system-card evaluations and diverse deployment sources, and it assesses both how reliably models recognize they are being evaluated and how detectable individual benchmarks are. The benchmark addresses systematic bias by calibrating probes per model and harmonizing generator selection to correct for variance caused by model identity and prompt choice.

By Xinning Li, Kemunto Ochwang'i, Aryasomayajula Ram Bharadwaj, Alexandra Souly, Robert Kirk