arXiv AI

Analysing Austrian Parliamentary Speeches by Predicting Party Affiliations

The paper investigates speech patterns of members of the Austrian National Council by using a fine‑tuned BERT model to predict party affiliation for each speech. The predicted probabilities are aggregated at speaker and party levels, and the authors evaluate the model’s quality before using the results to analyze political dynamics. Findings indicate that governing parties become more similar in speech, opposition parties diverge, and politicians who change parties adjust their speech only after the switch.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 12

Who Would You Vote For? Auditing Political Alignment in LLMs: An Italian Case-Study

As users increasingly turn to Large Language Models (LLMs) for information and advice on political matters, particularly during election periods, the political preferences expressed by these systems have become a matter of public interest. Prior research has shown that interactions with LLMs can influence users' political attitudes and choices, raising questions about how these models themselves evaluate political actors.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 18

Large Language Models as Implicit Sociological Models: Reconstructing Voting Behaviour from Sociodemographic Profiles

arXiv:2608. 15871v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) trained on large-scale internet corpora encode extensive statistical regularities about social identities, attitudes, and political behaviour.

By Roman Neruda, Martin Bako\v{s}, Josef \v{S}lerka, V\'it Tu\v{c}ek, Petra Vidnerov\'a, Gabriela Kadlecov\'a
arXiv AI
Jun 30

LLM-Ideoplasticity: Measuring Ideological Plasticity in the Political Behavior of LLMs as a Context-Conditioned Distribution

arXiv:2606. 28335v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We argue, with systematic empirical evidence, that a large language model's political ideology is not a fixed point, but a conditional distribution $\mathbb{P}($position$\mid$context$)$ over a real political space.

By Adib Sakhawat, Syed Rifat Raiyan, Tahsin Islam, Takia Farhin, Hasan Mahmud, Md Kamrul Hasan
arXiv AI
Oct 26

Distributional Alignment of LLMs and Its Generalization Properties

The paper investigates how large language models (LLMs) can be distributionally aligned with human output distributions, particularly for applications like survey simulation. It examines both the alignment process and the models’ ability to generalize to unseen questions within the same domain and to related but different topics. The study finds that while LLMs can achieve alignment and generalize within a domain, cross‑topic generalization is variable and aligned models may unexpectedly lose creative capabilities, indicating unpredictable and unstable generalization properties.

By Nelson Jo
arXiv AI
Sep 17

Evolution of US Oral Political Language

The study analyzes oral political language in U.S. presidential debates from 1960 to 2024, focusing on 19 candidates. It finds a clear trend toward simplification: sentence length and complex terms have decreased, while emotional tone has risen and logical, rational content has diminished. The research also explores whether specific presidents exhibit unique stylistic traits and whether language patterns correlate with electoral success.

By Jacques Savoy
arXiv AI
Sep 3

PolERo: Studying Political Evasion in Romanian

PolERo presents a new dataset of 3,574 Romanian question‑answer pairs from presidential transcripts, annotated for political evasion using a two‑level taxonomy of response clarity and fine‑grained evasion strategies. The study evaluates various classification methods—including TF‑IDF baselines, fine‑tuned encoders, a sliding‑window encoder, and zero/few‑shot LLM prompting—under matched conditions. Cross‑lingual transfer experiments via joint bilingual training and machine‑translation augmentation reveal that fine‑tuned encoders perform competitively, transfer is asymmetric, and ambivalent evasion categories with pragmatic cues remain the most challenging across all models.

By Gabriel Stefan, Sergiu Nisioi