arXiv Computation and Language

Do We Need an LLM to Know Why Sources Conflict? Decision Models for Knowledge-Conflict Typing in RAG

arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 16

Jev-as-a-Judge for RAG Claim Verification: Confidence-Gated Cascading Between a Non-Generative Verifier and a Frontier LLM

The paper compares a non‑generative verifier (Jev) with a frontier LLM (Astra) on 495 human‑labelled claims from LLM‑AggreFact. Both models achieve statistically indistinguishable accuracy, yet Jev is 187‑fold cheaper and admits more unsupported claims. A confidence‑gated cascade that escalates uncertain claims improves cost‑efficiency, though the benefit comes mainly from the escalation share rather than the probability estimates.

By Alden Do Rosario, Kirollos Atef
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 3

Benchmarking System One decision models against trained classifiers and language models for automated decision gates

The paper evaluates System One decision models—typed models that output probabilities for branching decisions—against supervised classifiers and generative language models on automated decision gate tasks. Eight checkpoints from six families, including the hosted model Jev, were benchmarked on workflow, intent, and social‑science items, showing that small trained classifiers match or slightly outperform decision models on intent and workflow when labels are available, while decision models outperform zero‑shot classifiers when labels are absent. The study also explores calibration, risk thresholds, and cost‑efficiency trade‑offs, providing condition‑dependent design guidelines for automated decision gates.

By Amir Rafe, Subasish Das
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 22

Our Own Jev: Typed Decisions in One Forward Pass, from an In-House Judge to Open LoRA Models

arXiv:2610. 29052v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A typed decision maps evidence, a question and a fixed set of options to a probability for every option, computed in one forward pass, by reading a language model's logits or a small head over its hidden states, instead of generating and parsing text.

By Yuchuan Weng, Chi Liu, Xin Chen, Srinivasan Manoharan
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Impact Is Not Invalidation: Ask About the Claim, Not the Diff

The paper investigates how machine‑learning models can determine whether a claim (a test assertion) remains valid after a code change. It compares two questioning strategies: asking whether a diff preserves behavior versus asking whether a specific claim still holds. The authors find that the latter approach yields far higher precision (up to 0.974) across models of varying cost, while the former performs poorly (precision 0.291–0.329). They also benchmark against a regression‑test selector, showing that even near‑complete knowledge of a change’s reach does not reliably identify falsified claims. The study is grounded in 10,369 mined claims with 184 execution‑verified flips from 23 Python libraries.

By Atul Anand
arXiv AI
1d ago

Rare, Relevant, and Still Wrong: How Memory Fails LLM Group Decisions

The paper investigates how short memory representations of large‑language‑model (LLM) group discussions affect final decision quality. It introduces CrossProfile, a benchmark of 480 hidden‑profile tasks that separates supporting, decoy, and irrelevant facts while keeping their wording constant. Experiments with Qwen2.5‑7B, Llama‑3.1‑8B, and DeepSeek models show that heuristics based on rarity or relevance both fail in predictable ways, and that the decision model’s social‑proof bias further degrades accuracy. Removing attribution tags or randomizing them improves performance, yet natural transcripts still lose more evidence than no notes at all.

By Anouar Imel, Imad Charradi, Abderrahman Sghir, Khalil El Khammar
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Augur: A Synthetic Decision Lab for Rehearsing Reactions to Product and Policy Changes

Augur is a synthetic decision laboratory that simulates how users will react to product and policy changes before they are released. It constructs a typed knowledge graph from change documents, populates a persona market, runs simulations, and produces an auditable decision memo recommending one of five actions. Using a dataset of 50 real episodes (Gold‑50), the authors evaluate the system’s five‑way release verdicts and find that evaluation design, rather than model capability, largely drives performance differences among frontier and open‑weight models.

By Rahul Khedar, Mayank Malhotra, Avinash Karn