arXiv:2606. 17233v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In many engineering applications, a single high-fidelity model produces multiple quantities of interest (QoIs) under the same input parameters, e.
By Qitian Lu, Jafar Jafari-Asl, Panagiotis Spyridis, Lukas Novak
arXiv:2606. 14053v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Quantifying the influence of hybrid aleatory and epistemic uncertainties on high-dimensional system responses remains a major challenge in global sensitivity analysis (GSA).
By Shijie Zhong, Jiangfeng Fu, Pengfei Wei
arXiv:2608. 16084v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural autoregressive models have rapidly emerged as powerful emulators of high-dimensional chaotic systems, yet their long-term instability and error growth remain poorly understood, leading to ad-hoc solutions.
By Conrad Ainslie, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Michael W. Mahoney, Ashesh Chattopadhyay
arXiv:2507. 03631v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Extracting interpretable mathematical models from complex dynamical systems is difficult, especially for chaotic dynamics observed with noisy experimental data.
By Anthony G. Chesebro, David Hofmann, Vaibhav Dixit, Earl K. Miller, Richard H. Granger, Alan Edelman, Christopher V. Rackauckas, Lilianne R. Mujica-Parodi, Helmut H. Strey
arXiv:2608. 01968v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer models are most often understood through what they do: their benchmark performance, generation quality, or behavior on downstream tasks.
By Kunal Kumar Pant, Nithin Nagaraj
arXiv:2608. 08003v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As machine learned models increase in complexity and expressive power, features of simpler models, such as interpretability and control over the shape of the modeled function are lost.
By Alex Shtoff
arXiv:2607. 17990v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Highly nonlinear chaotic dynamical systems remain difficult to model due to fundamental trade-offs between complexity, expressivity, and data efficiency.
By Charles Bokor, Mark Cary, Denise Morrey, Fabrizio Bonatesta
arXiv:2608. 16340v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The combination of traditional statistical models and neural network (NN) components into semi-structured hybrid models is an intriguing approach to construct models that, ideally, combine traditional interpretability with the unprecedented flexibility of NNs.
By Tom Splittgerber, Niklas Koenen, Marvin N. Wright, Werner Brannath
arXiv:2608. 09071v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forward uncertainty propagation in complex physical systems can induce structured covariance across field-valued outputs.
By Yupei Nie, Lei Wang, Jiasen Liu
arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.
By Bharat Srikishan, Javier E. Santos, Nikhil Muralidhar, Charles D. Young
arXiv:2607. 22313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence.
By Masahiro Tanaka
arXiv:2604. 19465v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding how complex systems respond to perturbations, such as whether they will remain stable or what their most sensitive patterns are, is a fundamental challenge across science and engineering.
By Chengyun Wang, Liwei Chen, Nils Thuerey