Scaling laws promised cost-effective experiments; six years later, they have yet to fully deliver. Instead, researchers have found them unreliable at small scales (starting at 4M parameters) and concluded that sizable models cannot be avoided.
arXiv:2602. 10545v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Modern large-scale neural networks are often trained and released in multiple sizes to accommodate diverse inference budgets.
By Yuxin Ma, Nan Chen, Mateo D\'iaz, Soufiane Hayou, Dmitriy Kunisky, Soledad Villar
The paper introduces a new closed‑form scaling law that extends Chinchilla’s original formula to handle data‑constrained regimes. It decomposes loss into undercapacity, undertraining, and overfitting components, saturating between an irreducible loss and an uninformed baseline. The authors validate the model on diverse architectures and domains, achieving state‑of‑the‑art RMSE across multiple LLM scaling‑law grids and enabling cost‑aware training allocations.
By Christopher M. Bryant, Hao Liu
arXiv:2605. 29548v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Larger models learn tasks smaller models do not.
By Jing Huang, Daniel Wurgaft, Rachit Bansal, Laura Ruis, Naomi Saphra, David Alvarez-Melis, Andrew Kyle Lampinen, Christopher Potts, Ekdeep Singh Lubana
arXiv:2606. 27282v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy.
By Lang Huang, Jinglue Xu, Luke Darlow
arXiv:2610. 01172v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study learning rate (LR) scaling for hybrid architectures combining Transformer and State-Space Model (SSM) blocks, a class adopted by several recent production language models.
By Jimin Seo, Gyubok Lee, Yeonsik Jo, Kiwoong Yoo, Yeongoon Kim, Minhae Oh, Jin Woo Koo, Suhwan Kim, Nakyung Lee, Minsik Seol, Idris Nechnech, Jaehyeon Kim, Giho Lee, Jungwoo Lee