Scaling laws promised cost-effective experiments; six years later, they have yet to fully deliver. Instead, researchers have found them unreliable at small scales (starting at 4M parameters) and concluded that sizable models cannot be avoided.
arXiv:2602. 10545v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Modern large-scale neural networks are often trained and released in multiple sizes to accommodate diverse inference budgets.
By Yuxin Ma, Nan Chen, Mateo D\'iaz, Soufiane Hayou, Dmitriy Kunisky, Soledad Villar
arXiv:2605. 29548v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Larger models learn tasks smaller models do not.
By Jing Huang, Daniel Wurgaft, Rachit Bansal, Laura Ruis, Naomi Saphra, David Alvarez-Melis, Andrew Kyle Lampinen, Christopher Potts, Ekdeep Singh Lubana
arXiv:2606. 27282v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy.
By Lang Huang, Jinglue Xu, Luke Darlow
Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy. We take the opposite position: most of the gap can be closed at far lower cost by tuning preprocessing rather than scaling models.
arXiv:2606. 07616v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Scaling laws provide a fundamental framework for understanding the performance of Language Models (LMs), yet deriving them requires prohibitively expensive evaluations across thousands of checkpoints or millions of inference samples.
By Sang Truong, Yuheng Tu, Rylan Schaeffer, Sanmi Koyejo