arXiv AI By Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

Short-term load forecasting under EU-AI Act Requirements in Safety-Critical Environments: Results from a 41-day live challenge on the aggregated German transmission-grid load

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arXiv:2608. 05018v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Short-term load forecasting (STLF) play a vital role in the electric power industry.

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arXiv AI
Aug 11

Time-Series Forecasting in Safety-Critical Environments: An Open-Source Package for EU-AI-Act-Compliant Development / Zeitreihenprognose in sicherheitskritischen Umgebungen: Ein Open-Source-Paket f\"ur die KI-VO-konforme Entwicklung

arXiv:2604. 23859v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: With spotforecast2-safe we present an integrated Compliance-by-Design approach to Python-based point forecasting of time series in safety-critical environments.

By Thomas Bartz-Beielstein, Eva Bartz
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 3

Probabilistic Low-Voltage Peak Load Forecasting with Time Series Foundation Models Evaluated on Application-Oriented Metrics

arXiv:2607. 01966v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Low-voltage load forecasting is an important component in current and future energy systems with a high degree of electrification and decentralized generation.

By Benedikt Kaas, Manuel Treutlein, Hannes Benedikt Gerber, Oliver Neumann, Cheewan Phatthanakhuha, Oliver Resch, Ralf Mikut, Veit Hagenmeyer
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era

arXiv:2604. 26634v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Norway's electricity market is heavily dominated by hydropower, but the 2021-2022 energy crisis and stronger integration with Continental Europe have fundamentally altered price formation, reducing the reliability of forecasting models calibrated on historical data.

By My Thi Diem Phan, Trung Tuyen Truong, Hoai Phuong Ha, Dat Thanh Nguyen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

A Benchmark for Electrical Load Forecasting Across Grid Levels: Time-Series Transformers Outperform Established Methods

arXiv:2607. 15705v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate load forecasting at multiple grid levels is essential for future smart grids, ranging from aggregated control area forecasts for balancing supply and demand to forecasts of individual end-consumer loads for demand-side management and energy management systems.

By Matthias Hertel, Sebastian P\"utz, Jonathan Kolar, Benjamin Sch\"afer, Ralf Mikut, Veit Hagenmeyer
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 2

Probabilistic Low-Voltage Peak Load Forecasting with Time Series Foundation Models Evaluated on Application-Oriented Metrics

Low-voltage load forecasting is an important component in current and future energy systems with a high degree of electrification and decentralized generation. However, current forecasting methods require significant manual effort, often lack uncertainty estimation and proper peak prediction, and they are often not adequately evaluated in terms of grid requirements.