arXiv AI By Jackie Baek, Vivek F. Farias, Farrell Wu

Misspecified Estimate-then-Optimize Leads to Supra-Competitive Prices

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arXiv:2605. 16064v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study whether simple algorithmic pricing systems can systematically produce collusive-like prices in multi-firm markets.

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arXiv AI
Jun 9

Supracompetitive Pricing Under AI Monoculture

arXiv:2601. 01279v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: When competing sellers delegate pricing to a shared AI model, such as a large language model, correlated recommendations combined with performance-driven updates aggregating seller feedback raise a key question: can standard AI deployment practices inadvertently produce supracompetitive pricing?

By Shengyu Cao, Ming Hu
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Oblivious Learning and Collusive Pricing

The paper investigates whether pricing algorithms on multi‑seller platforms should incorporate competitors’ prices when learning demand. It compares two strategies: informed sellers that use competitor prices in their learning models, and oblivious sellers that ignore them. The study finds that oblivious sellers must explore prices more aggressively to offset missing competitor information; when all sellers are oblivious, prices eventually converge to the competitive outcome, but insufficient exploration can create many pseudo‑equilibria. In mixed markets, informed sellers earn more, and the unique Nash equilibrium is a fully informed market where prices efficiently converge to the competitive outcome, showing that oblivious modeling does not reliably produce collusion.

By Yuhang Wu, Assaf Zeevi