arXiv Machine Learning By Vanesa Jord\'a, Miguel Ni\~no-Zaraz\'ua

Measuring Poverty and Inequality with Reduced Data: A Machine Learning Approach Using Nigerian Household Data

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arXiv:2606. 07614v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable measurement of income and consumption is essential for monitoring poverty and inequality in low- and middle-income countries, yet full household surveys are costly and difficult to implement regularly.

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arXiv Machine Learning
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The paper presents an uncertainty‑aware machine‑learning approach for mapping poverty in Africa using satellite imagery. By combining simultaneous quantile regression with a novel conformal prediction technique, the authors generate statistically guaranteed prediction intervals for neighborhood‑level International Wealth Index estimates, achieving high explanatory power (R² = 0.75) while acknowledging broader uncertainty. They also propose a risk‑controlled aid allocation procedure that leverages both survey data and model predictions, showing in simulations that it can deliver more aid per eligible recipient than alternative strategies.

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Full-Feature versus Limited-Input Machine Learning for Residential Energy Estimation: A Comparative Analysis of RECS and ResStock Under Realistic Input Constraints

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