arXiv Machine Learning

Evaluating and Learning Robust Bandit Policies Under Uncertain Causal Mechanisms

arXiv:2508. 02812v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal graphical models can encode large amounts structural knowledge, both from the background knowledge of domain experts and the structural knowledge discovered from randomized experiments or observational data.

arXiv AI
Jul 7

Fixed-Confidence Best-Arm Identification for Causal Mediation Analysis

arXiv:2607. 04315v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper studies the problem of identifying the treatment that maximizes the expected natural direct potential outcome (NDPO), which captures the potential outcome of an intervention while excluding the pathway transmitted through a mediator that researchers may wish to remove from evaluation.

By Harsh Shrivastava, Yuta Kawakami, Junpei Komiyama, Jin Tian
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

Bandit Simulation for Average Reward Inference

arXiv:2606. 00913v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multi-arm bandit algorithms are increasingly used in online platforms, clinical trials, and social science experiments, but valid statistical inference on their performance remains an open challenge.

By Samya Praharaj, Chih-Yu Chang, Koulik Khamaru, Kelly W. Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 10

Bootstrap-Conditioned Action Selection with Tabular Foundation Models

arXiv:2608. 06559v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Contextual bandits offer a natural framework for sample-efficient personalization, but practical deployment remains difficult under sparse, biased interaction data, unreliable uncertainty estimates, and severe cold starts.

By Devansh Gupta, Shiv Tavker, Dmitry Efimov, Suchitra Sathyanarayana, Gitanjali Bhutani, Boris N. Oreshkin