arXiv AI

A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Long and Short-Term Forecasting of the Egyptian Stock Market: A Focus on EGX30

arXiv:2607. 14391v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study concentrates on predicting stock prices in the Egyptian market, focusing on the EGX30, an influential financial hub in the Middle East.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

VertiFuseX: Generalizable Financial Forecasting via Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion

VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.

By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Deep Learning Based on Generative Adversarial and Convolutional Neural Networks for Financial Time Series Predictions

The paper proposes a hybrid generative adversarial network (GAN) that combines a bi-directional LSTM and a CNN (Bi‑LSTM‑CNN) to generate synthetic financial data aligned with real market data. By preserving stock trend features, the model predicts future stock price movements across multiple markets (TSX, SHCOMP, S&P 500). Experiments show that this hybrid approach outperforms existing machine‑learning prototypes, and the study highlights gaps between investors and technical researchers.

By Wilfredo Tovar
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

Machine Learning and the Random Walk Puzzle: Forecasting the CAD/USD Exchange Rate with Expanding Window Evaluation and SHAP Interpretability

arXiv:2606. 15058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study examines whether machine learning (ML) models can outperform the naive random walk benchmark in forecasting the monthly USD/CAD exchange rate.

By Louis Agyekum, Edmund Fosu Agyemang, Obu-Amoah Ampomah, Kofi Acheampong, Emmanuel Boadi, Priscilla Yaa Amakye, Fafa Shalom Tchorly, Enock Adu Bonsu, Eric Nyarko
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

ResNLS: An Improved Model for Stock Price Forecasting

ResNLS is a hybrid neural model combining ResNet and LSTM to forecast stock prices by emphasizing dependencies between adjacent prices. The model uses the closing prices of the previous five trading days as input, achieving optimal performance and outperforming state‑of‑the‑art baselines by at least 20%. In back‑testing, a trading strategy based on ResNLS‑5 predictions mitigated losses during market declines and generated profits during upturns.

By Yuanzhe Jia, Ali Anaissi, Basem Suleiman
arXiv AI
Sep 7

EXAONE Forecast for Finance

EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance) is a financial time‑series foundation model designed to overcome the limitations of existing models that rely on self‑attention and assume fully observed data. It replaces self‑attention with a causal 1D convolution for temporal mixing and a group‑aware pooling MLP for variate mixing, achieving linear‑time complexity. The model is pretrained on a large, diverse financial corpus and, through masked context augmentation, learns to handle missing data, ultimately topping the FinVerse benchmark across accuracy, ranking, and profitability metrics.

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv AI
Sep 10

EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Series

arXiv:2609.04239v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial...

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv AI
Aug 5

FinVerse: Financial Time-Series Benchmark

arXiv:2608. 03259v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As time-series foundation models have emerged, the need for benchmarks that can evaluate their forecasting ability in meaningful ways has become increasingly important.

By Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Seunghan Lee, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

RNN(p) for Power Consumption Forecasting

arXiv:2209. 01378v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: An elementary Recurrent Neural Network that operates on p time lags, called an RNN(p), is the natural generalisation of a linear autoregressive model ARX(p).

By Roberto Baviera, Pietro Manzoni
arXiv AI
Jul 7

KAN vs LSTM Performance in Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2511. 18613v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This study presents a controlled comparison of baseline Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN), implemented via PyKAN, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for the forecasting of stochastic, non-stationary financial time series.

By Tabish Ali Rather, S M Mahmudul Hasan Joy, Nadezda Sukhorukova, Federico Frascoli