arXiv:2606. 31461v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Niche asset markets, such as Counter-Strike 2 (CS2) weapon skins, are small, volatile, and heavily driven by community discussions and platform rules.
By Yao Shi, Kingfung Luo, Nan Tang, Yuyu Luo
arXiv:2606. 02528v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models now power robo-advisors and trading agents, yet whether they carry built-in biases toward specific assets is largely untested.
By Wenbin Wu
arXiv:2607. 15414v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as powerful tools for processing the heterogeneous information environments of modern financial markets.
By Geofrey Ntale
arXiv:2606. 31522v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous financial agents initialized with explicit behavioral mandates such as "preserve capital" or "avoid speculative bets" that are meant to govern every decision throughout deployment.
By Muhammad Usman Safder (Steve), Ayesha Gull (Steve), Rania Elbadry (Steve), Fan Zhang (Steve), Yankai Chen (Steve), Xueqing Peng (Steve), Xue (Steve), Liu, Preslav Nakov, Zhuohan Xie
arXiv:2608. 11785v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong potential for financial analysis and trading, but direct trading remains challenging because the predictive capabilities required can vary across assets, decision fields, and market conditions.
By Chang Zhou, Xingtong Yu, Minbin Huang, Zhennan Wu, Yuan Fang, Hong Cheng, Xinming Zhang
arXiv:2606. 08285v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) and agentic systems are increasingly proposed for financial trading, yet their reported performance remains difficult to compare because studies vary in data provenance, temporal split discipline, execution timing, turnover treatment, and transaction-cost modeling.
By Junyi Yao, Zihao Zheng
arXiv:2607. 11141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) based agents are beginning to participate in portfolio construction and market analysis, where decisions must be justified under evolving information and risk constraints.
By Changlun Li, Peixian Ma, Qiqi Duan, Zhenyu Lin, Peineng Wu
arXiv:2608.12283v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Large language models can extract richer signals from financial news than fixed sentiment lexicons, and recent work has explored feeding such...
By Alireza Kargarzadeh, Nariman Khaledian, Navid Parvini, Arman Khaledian
The paper introduces LiveMacroEval, a live benchmark that tests large language model (LLM) agents’ ability to produce hourly nowcasts for sixteen major U.S. macroeconomic indicators before their official release. It evaluates LLM performance against institutional nowcasts, Bloomberg ECOS consensus, and an auto-ARIMA baseline using a LiveMacro Score linked to announcement-window equity returns and a LiveBetting Score from simulated Polymarket-style trading. Over six months, state-of-the-art LLMs with web search achieved overall accuracy comparable to professional benchmarks, though performance varied across indicators.
By Xinyue Zhao, Ruiyi Zhang, Liqin Ye, Rui Cao, Pengtao Xie, Sudheer Chava
arXiv:2607. 10286v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly used in trading systems, where model reasoning, tool use, and continual decisions incur costs that are expected to produce trading value.
By Qiqi Duan, Changlun Li, Chen Wang, Fan Zhang, Mengxiang Wang, Dayi Miao, Peixian Ma, Jiangpeng Yan, Liyuan Chen, Shuoling Liu, Preslav Nakov, Yuyu Luo, Nan Tang
The paper reports a six‑month, population‑scale measurement of autonomous language‑model trading agents operating in two production fleets: DX Terminal Pro, with 3,505 user‑funded vaults trading real ETH in Base memecoin markets, and the DXAP live alpha fleet, with 500–599 user‑created agents trading Hyperliquid perpetuals. Across roughly 7.5 million single‑model invocations and 231,638 multi‑tool turns, the study finds that operating layer design, risk sliders, and leaderboard boundaries drive behavior more than strategy text; agents are volatility‑blind in sizing, capture little upside, and show no directional edge compared to a retail benchmark. The analysis includes regression discontinuity, permutation nulls, and a 17‑rule methodology canon to validate the findings.
By T. J. Barton, Chris Constantakis, Patti Hauseman, Annie Mous, Alaska Hoffman, Brian Bergeron, Hunter Goodreau
arXiv:2609.34004v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Equity-relevant news evolves through temporally dependent corporate events, making historical information useful only when event continuity, inform...
By Tong Liu, Lanmiao Liu, Xiang Hu