The paper introduces a flexible, theoretically grounded framework for steering and scaling autoregressive large language models (LLMs) through sampling. It presents two algorithms—Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and Replica Exchange (RE)—that guide generation toward desired distributions such as powering, product, or tilting of the base model. Experiments show these methods outperform Best‑of‑N and standard MCMC baselines, offering a systematic recipe for probabilistic inference with LLMs via sampling.
By Jiajun He, Zongyu Guo, Jos\'e Miguel Hern\'andez-Lobato, Yuanqi Du
arXiv:2608. 15448v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models increasingly rely on sampling as a driver of their own improvement, making the fidelity of their learned distributions more critical than ever.
By Nicolas Zucchet, Hyun Dong Lee, Scott Linderman
arXiv:2607. 25292v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Silicon sampling uses language models as proxies for human survey respondents, treating each model call as an independent draw from the persona's response distribution.
By Chaemin Jang, Dongman Lee, Jihee Kim
arXiv:2608. 11215v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Simulating societies of many large language model (LLM) agents is expensive, yet the questions asked of such simulations are usually macroscopic: phase behaviour, stylised facts, and scaling with the number of agents $N$, not the cognition of any single agent.
By Igor Itkin
arXiv:2502. 11027v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language model (LLM) scaling inference is key to unlocking greater performance, and leveraging diversity has proven an effective way to enhance it.
By Tianchun Wang, Zichuan Liu, Yuanzhou Chen, Jonathan Light, Weiyang Liu, Haifeng Chen, Xiang Zhang, Wei Cheng
The paper introduces RareTrap, a framework that estimates the probability of severe behaviors in black‑box large language models. RareTrap constructs a geometry‑aware mapping from a low‑dimensional latent space into token‑embedding space using a surrogate LLM, creating an explicit and reproducible distribution over input prompts. By applying a response‑level performance function and sequential rare‑event simulation, RareTrap concentrates evaluations on increasingly severe behaviors while preserving probability, enabling estimation of such behaviors with as few as 200 evaluations across multiple open‑weight and frontier models.
By Elsayed Eshra, Ali Al-Lawati, Dongwon Lee, Suhang Wang