arXiv AI By Dharshan Kumaran, Viorica Patraucean, Maks Ovsanikov, Petar Veli\v{c}kovi\'c, Nathaniel Daw

The Computational Basis of Confidence in Large Language Models

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arXiv:2607. 12447v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable confidence -- the probability that a model's own answer is correct -- is essential for the trustworthy deployment of language models.

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The Computational Basis of Confidence in Large Language Models

Reliable confidence -- the probability that a model's own answer is correct -- is essential for the trustworthy deployment of language models. Existing work has largely evaluated confidence by how well it predicts correctness and whether it is calibrated, leaving open a more fundamental question: what does the confidence signal itself represent?