This paper presents an empirical comparison of lexicon-based and Large Language Model (LLM)-based sentiment analysis for extracting market-relevant signals from social media discourse in highly volatile equity markets. Using Reddit data from r/WallStreetBets and focusing on meme stocks (GME, AMC, NOK), we construct time-aligned sentiment indicators and evaluate their relationship with market returns, with particular attention to extreme positive return events in the upper tail of the return distribution.
arXiv:2607. 15258v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The growing use of Bitcoin as a decentralized digital asset and investment tool has sparked strong interest in understanding its market behavior.
By Arthur G. Bubolz, Abreu Quevedo, Giancarlo Lucca, Rafael A. Berri, Eduardo Borges, Bruno L. Dalmazo
arXiv:2607. 14174v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial sentiment extraction has largely relied on news text and supervised extraction against return labels alone, leaving 10-K filings -- and volatility, the target risk disclosure is arguably best suited to informing -- comparatively unexplored.
By Sanggyu Sean Choi
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arXiv:2607. 28127v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent advances in Generative AI have substantially improved financial sentiment analysis through post-trained financial large language models (LLMs).
By Giorgos Iacovides, Wuyang Zhou, Danilo Mandic