arXiv Machine Learning By Zhiming Huang, Jamie Morgenstern, Aaron Roth, Claire Jie Zhang

Instance-Adaptive Online Multicalibration

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arXiv:2605. 09273v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study online multicalibration beyond the worst-case.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 23

Optimal Recalibration of an Online Predictor

arXiv:2607. 19689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the problem of recalibrating an online predictor [KE17, OKS24]: given an arbitrary "hint" sequence of forecasts, the learner must output new predictions that are calibrated while incurring small excess error relative to the original forecasts, under a proper loss.

By Lunjia Hu, Kevin Tian, Chutong Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

High-Dimensional Calibration from Swap Regret

arXiv:2505. 21460v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study online calibration of multi-dimensional forecasts over an arbitrary convex set $P \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ relative to an arbitrary norm $|\cdot|$.

By Maxwell Fishelson, Noah Golowich, Mehryar Mohri, Jon Schneider