arXiv AI By Subhabrata Majumdar

Information-Theoretic Limits of Reliability and Scaling in Language Models

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arXiv:2607. 14112v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are evaluated as though perfect reliability is achievable for any task given sufficient scale.

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arXiv AI
Sep 10

Limits of Reliability and Scaling in Language Models

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By Ross Tieman, Evan Markou
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Inferred Generative-Process Diversity Predicts Correlated Failure Across Language Models

The paper argues that traditional semantic similarity fails to capture the true diversity of language models. It introduces a new metric—generative‑process diversity—measured via Normalised Compression Distance on raw outputs, which reveals hidden population structure among 38 models. This metric predicts lower correlated failures across ten benchmark families, independent of semantic similarity or model capability.