arXiv:2608. 07113v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider the optimization of the Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk, with applications including portfolio optimization in finance, and uncertainty quantification, classification, and regression in machine learning.
By Sumedh Gupte, Prashanth L. A., Sanjay P. Bhat
arXiv:2604. 18546v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y.
By Feras Al Taha, Eilyan Bitar
arXiv:2602. 03778v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Tail-end risk measures such as static conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) are used in safety-critical applications to prevent rare, yet catastrophic events.
By Aneri Muni, Vincent Taboga, Esther Derman, Pierre-Luc Bacon, Erick Delage
arXiv:2606. 20859v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A fundamental assumption in statistics and machine learning is that ``the future looks like the past,'' formalized as exchangeability: the joint data distribution is order-invariant.
By Johan Hallberg Szabadv\'ary
arXiv:2606. 00320v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present an online, distribution-free framework for controlling the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), extending conformal tail risk control to non-stationary and adversarial environments.
By Catherine Chen, Jingyan Shen, Zhun Deng, Lihua Lei
arXiv:2606. 27462v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The global minimum-variance portfolio (GMVP) is the canonical decision built from an estimated covariance matrix, yet covariance estimators are universally evaluated by matrix-norm loss, which is not the object the decision depends on.
By Xavier Fonseca