arXiv Machine Learning

A Bayesian Approach for the Network Reconstruction of Interdependent Critical Infrastructure Systems from Cascading Failures

arXiv:2211. 15590v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Analyzing the behavior of complex interdependent networks requires complete information about the network topology and the interdependent links across networks.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

Transportable Causal Effect Estimation across Networks under Interference

The paper introduces TranCE, a doubly‑robust algorithm for estimating causal effects when an intervention is applied to one network but the interest lies in another, differing network. By extending selection diagrams to capture covariate and structural network shifts, the authors derive transport formulas for direct, spillover, and total effects, and validate the method on semi‑synthetic social‑network benchmarks and a real weather‑insurance field experiment.

By Xiaojing Du, Jiuyong Li, Lin Liu, Debo Cheng, Jixue Liu, Thuc Duy Le
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 31

Joint Bayesian Inference of Graphical Structure and Parameters with a Single Generative Flow Network

The paper introduces JSP-GFN, a Generative Flow Network that jointly infers the structure and parameters of a Bayesian Network. It sequentially generates a directed acyclic graph edge by edge and then samples the corresponding conditional probability parameters once the full structure is known. Experiments on simulated and real data show that JSP‑GFN accurately approximates the joint posterior and outperforms existing methods.

By Tristan Deleu, Mizu Nishikawa-Toomey, Jithendaraa Subramanian, Esmeralda S. Whitammer, Laurent Charlin, Yoshua Bengio
arXiv Statistics ML
4d ago

On the Nonasymptotic Scaling Guarantee of Hyperparameter Estimation in Inhomogeneous, Weakly-Dependent Complex Network Dynamical Systems

The paper develops a nonasymptotic theoretical framework for estimating hyperparameters in hierarchical Bayesian models applied to large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems. It provides bounds on the deviation of hyperparameter estimates as network size grows, first for independent nodes and then extending to weakly‑dependent nodes, and validates these results with numerical experiments on SIS and spiking neuronal network models.

By Yi Yu, Yubo Hou, Yinchong Wang, Nan Zhang, Jianfeng Feng, Wenlian Lu
arXiv AI
Aug 18

Graph Machine Learning: An Opportunity for Power Systems

arXiv:2608. 16494v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern power systems face growing operational complexity driven by the integration of renewable energy sources, decentralization, and the need for real-time decision-making across a wide range of timescales.

By Martin Sadric, Sebastian P\"utz, Christian Nauck, Veit Hagenmeyer, Frank Hellmann, Dirk Witthaut, Benjamin Sch\"afer