arXiv:2608. 15198v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Parameter identification of stochastic dynamical systems driven by mixed noises is challenging due to intractable likelihood functions.
arXiv:2608. 05454v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic prediction heads in neural networks typically output either a Gaussian mixture or a single conformal region.
arXiv:2604. 06001v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Efficiently solving the Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) is central to analyzing complex parameterized stochastic systems.
arXiv:2510. 12744v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We develop a unified statistical framework for softmax-gated Gaussian mixture of experts (SGMoE) that addresses three long-standing obstacles in parameter estimation and model selection: (i) non-identifiability of gating parameters up to common translations, (ii) intrinsic gate-expert interactions that induce coupled differential relations in the likelihood, and (iii) the tight numerator-denominator coupling in the softmax-induced conditional density.
arXiv:2608. 09071v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forward uncertainty propagation in complex physical systems can induce structured covariance across field-valued outputs.
arXiv:2606. 13818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This thesis investigates how Bayesian principles can deepen our understanding of modern deep learning systems.
arXiv:2607. 05025v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vibration-based damage identification in civil infrastructure is a challenging, ill-posed inverse problem due to measurement noise, sparse sensor arrays, and environmental variability.
arXiv:2607. 17018v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study distributionally robust linear chance-constrained problems in which uncertainty is modeled by a Gaussian mixture model (GMM).
arXiv:2607. 06252v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many problems in science and engineering are difficult to model accurately, either due to unknown physical mechanisms, poorly quantified measurement uncertainty, or prohibitive computational costs of high-fidelity simulations.
arXiv:2506. 06584v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Learning Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning, with the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm and its popular variant gradient EM being arguably the most widely used algorithms in practice.
arXiv:2512. 04954v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling.
arXiv:2608. 16340v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The combination of traditional statistical models and neural network (NN) components into semi-structured hybrid models is an intriguing approach to construct models that, ideally, combine traditional interpretability with the unprecedented flexibility of NNs.
arXiv:2607. 19173v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have emerged as powerful tools for learning noisy or stochastic dynamics directly from data; however, existing approaches largely assume uncoupled and continuous noise, limiting their applicability to realistic stochastic drivers, and often scale poorly in time, requiring expensive autoregressive training.