arXiv Machine Learning

Dimension-Calibrated Unexplained Mass: An Interpretable Drift Statistic for Contamination Monitoring in Data Streams

arXiv:2607. 16811v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Drift detectors that work tend not to explain themselves, and drift detectors that explain themselves tend to fail in high dimension.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Information-Geometric First-Passage Monitoring of Distributional Stability in Stochastic Systems

The paper presents a runtime monitoring framework for stochastic systems that distinguishes normal distributional relaxation from regime changes while limiting false alarms. It combines relative‑entropy dissipation, information geometry, and sequential inference within a bounded first‑passage architecture, employing Gaussian window surrogates, covariance shrinkage, and conformal ranking aggregated by a mixture power‑martingale. Validation on Ornstein–Uhlenbeck dynamics and network intrusion datasets (NSL‑KDD, UNSW‑NB15) shows high detection rates with low false positives, highlighting calibration transport as a key deployment challenge.

By Hikmat Karimov, Rahid Zahid Alekberli
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Calibration, Not Compilation: Detecting and Repairing Misspecified Probabilistic Programs Written by Language Models

arXiv:2606. 31630v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Language models increasingly write probabilistic programs (in NumPyro, Stan, or Pyro), but a program that compiles, runs, and passes every unit test can still be \emph{statistically} wrong -- a Gaussian likelihood for heavy-tailed data, a Poisson for over-dispersed counts, an invalid prior support, or a pathological parameterization.

By Jian Xu, Delu Zeng, John Paisley, Qibin Zhao
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Real-Time Detection and Repair of LLM Agent Failures

arXiv:2608. 02464v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: LLM agents fail mid-episode -- they loop, cascade tool errors, drift off goal, fabricate results, or silently absorb corrupted content -- and the standard remedy, judging every step with a second LLM, costs more than the agent itself.

By Sunny Dubey