arXiv Machine Learning

Generating Financial Time Series by Matching Random Convolutional Features

arXiv:2606. 05138v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generating realistic financial time series is challenging as training data is often limited to a single historical path.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
5d ago

KiT: A Foundation Model for Financial Time-Series Forecasting using DiffusionTransformers

KiT is a K‑line Diffusion Transformer foundation model designed for financial time‑series forecasting. It reframes future prediction as conditional path generation via flow matching, producing ensembles of plausible OHLCV trajectories from a historical context window. Trained on billions of candlestick bars across multiple markets and timescales, KiT achieves superior RankIC scores compared to task‑specific forecasters and general time‑series models.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Deep Learning Based on Generative Adversarial and Convolutional Neural Networks for Financial Time Series Predictions

The paper proposes a hybrid generative adversarial network (GAN) that combines a bi-directional LSTM and a CNN (Bi‑LSTM‑CNN) to generate synthetic financial data aligned with real market data. By preserving stock trend features, the model predicts future stock price movements across multiple markets (TSX, SHCOMP, S&P 500). Experiments show that this hybrid approach outperforms existing machine‑learning prototypes, and the study highlights gaps between investors and technical researchers.

By Wilfredo Tovar
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11

CPDA: Class-Conditional Path Distribution Alignment for Unsupervised Time-Series Domain Adaptation

arXiv:2608. 09193v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Unsupervised time-series domain adaptation (DA) addresses the challenge of transferring a classifier from a labeled source domain to an unlabeled target domain under distribution shifts induced by different users, sensors, devices, acquisition conditions, or temporal dynamics.

By Felix Ott, Christopher Mutschler
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 2

A convolutional framework for detecting event-driven dynamics in energy price series

The paper introduces a convolutional neural network framework for detecting event-driven dynamics in univariate time‑series windows, showing that it can represent classifiers based on range, maximum drawup, maximum drawdown, and slope change, and can uniformly approximate realised volatility and autoregressive explosiveness. It provides error bounds for representative rules in finite samples and an oracle inequality for learning across them, with simulations indicating that the model matches or outperforms individual‑statistic classifiers as training data increases. In an application to six daily energy price series, a hierarchical CNN identifies event windows and families, correctly detecting geopolitical dynamics around the 2026 Iran war and a natural gas spike linked to weather without retraining on post‑February 2026 data.

By Caixia Xu, Piotr Fryzlewicz